Spin Doctors
Consider taking this compact disc company's stock for a spin.
URL:
http://www.entrepreneur.com/magazine/entrepreneur/1997/may/14192.html
The company: Zomax Optical Media Inc. in Plymouth,
Minnesota, was incorporated in February 1996 as the successor to
Zomax Optical Media Limited Partnership, founded in 1993. The
company is a full-service supplier of compact discs (CDs) and
computer diskettes and offers a complement of related services.
Zomax recently completed a $9.3 million initial public offering
(IPO).
Markets: Zomax provides software publishers, computer
manufacturers, recording studios and other producers of multimedia
products with a wide variety of production, packaging and
distribution services. Customers include Microsoft, Compaq, John
Wiley & Sons and Sega, among others. Estimates vary as to the
total size of the CD market; however, the pace of growth in the
CD-ROM market has been explosive: Industry sources estimate
shipments of CD-ROMs quintupled over the last few years and could
double or triple again by the year 2000.
The CD audio market, which is by far the largest segment of the
CD market in terms of unit sales, while soft in 1996, has grown
more than 10 percent per year compounded over the past five
years.
The Sizzle: Despite being a small player in a very large
market, Zomax has established itself as an important supplier,
particularly in the high-quality, full-service segment of the
industry. The company has accomplished this while rapidly
increasing revenues and earnings.
The Risks: Pricing pressures in the CD-ROM market
continue to affect companies such as Zomax. The risk is that Zomax
will not be able to offset pricing pressures with higher volumes.
To date, however, Zomax has been successful in accomplishing these
feats.
Historical Financial Performance: Except for its first
quarter of operation in 1993, Zomax has been profitable every
quarter. The expansion in Zomax's business during 1996 was
broadbased. In particular, sales to Gateway 2000 helped revenues
grow from about 16 percent in 1995 to near 25 percent in 1996. In
addition, gross margins increased significantly because of a
reduction in outsourcing.
Projected Financial Performance: Our firm expects
Zomax's revenues to be in the $28 million to
$30 million range this year and increase to $40 million in 1998. We
forecast earnings per share to reach $0.47 this year and $0.71 in
1998, after taxes and taking into account warrants or other
instruments that could be converted into common shares. Our
estimates assume much of this growth will be achieved internally,
but acquisitions of independent CD or diskette manufacturers are
also a factor in our revenue projections.
We believe the company's shares are undervalued at current
prices and that a multiple of 15 to 20 times projected earnings
would be a reasonable expectation for a company with the growth
potential of Zomax.
Name: Zomax Optical Media Inc.
Sales: $18,500,000
Earnings: $1,290,000
Earnings per share: $0.34
Shares outstanding: 3,799,000
Recent price: $5.75
Total assets: $19,292,834*
Price-earnings ratio: 16.9
Shareholder's equity: $12,615,203*
Market: Nasdaq
Symbol: ZOMX
Numbers for fiscal year ending 12/27/96
* as of 9/27/96
Zomax Optical Media Inc., 5353 Nathan Ln., Plymouth, MN
55442, (612) 553-9300.
Ernest W. Andberg is a securities analyst with R.J. Steichen
& Co., a brokerage firm in Minneapolis. The above opinions are
those of the author and not of Entrepreneur. These investment
vehicles may not be for you. Carefully investigate before
investing.
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