United Kingdom household spending stops
growing.
by MEDIA CONTACT RESOURCES, INC.
United Kingdom (UK) households spend the biggest percentage of
their weekly outlays on their homes. This spending pattern has not
changed appreciably for the past five years.
These are two of the key findings from the UK's annual report
on household spending. The report titled "Family Spending" is
based on the Expenditure and Food Survey (EFS) for the financial year
April 2003 to March 2004.
The report was prepared by the Office for National Statistics
(ONS), and was released in early June 2005.
The chart above shows the growth in annual household expenditures
(in 2003-2004 prices) from 1997 to 2004. And although spending patterns
have remained fairly stable over much of the period, the growth in total
expenditures themselves show wide variability.
Most interesting from this look at the growth pattern is that from
a peak in 2001, household spending declined sharply and by March 2004
stopped growing altogether. In fact, a linear trendline drawn from these
statistics would show a downward trend over the entire eight year
period.
Matching the household expenditure growth statistics with annual
GDP as forecast by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) requires
comparing the previous year's GDP with the financial year depicted
on the chart. So, for example, the prominent spike in household spending
for 2001 is, in reality, echoing the decade high growth in GDP - 3.9
percent - posted for 2000.
Similarly, the steep decline in household expenditure growth after
2001 can be roughly paired with a decline in GDP in the succeeding early
years of the decade.
With this in mind, growth in household spending has been much more
sensitive to swings in GDP than is easily explained by discouraging
economic news.
Add to this the fact that UK unemployment, quite high at the
beginning of the decade, with the rate at the decade peak of 8.1 percent
in 1996, has slowly but surely improved to the point where the IMF is
forecasting the UK rate of unemployment will be 4.8 percent in 2005, the
same as it was in 2004.
In reporting on the release of "Family Spending", the
British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) offered the opinion that since
the most prominent expenses in the survey were those related to a
family's home, being a "homebody" is a characteristic of
the British consumer.
The trait was reinforced, said the BBC, by the fact that consumers
spent more on in-home entertainment than they did on health club
memberships, or other "healthy" activities.
While there is a certain logic to these observations, another
explanation might be that the ups and downs of the UK economy, combined
with European Union uncertainties, and the UK's participation in
the war in Iraq, may speak more of a shock rather than a propensity to
want to watch a lot of television. The unemployment statistics alone
push thinking in this direction.
One footnote on "Family Spending" - for the first time
the ONS surveyed children on their spending patterns. Spending for three
age categories was presented.
Overall, children spent most of their money on food. The percentage
of spending for snacks and school meals and other meals was identical
(18 percent). Clothing was the next highest category with girls spending
twice as much as boys.
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COPYRIGHT 2005 Media Contact Resources,
Inc. Reproduced with permission of the copyright holder. Further reproduction or distribution is prohibited without permission.
Copyright 2005, Gale Group. All rights
reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.
NOTE: All illustrations and photos have been removed from this article.