Chile reports solid progress.
by MEDIA CONTACT RESOURCES, INC.
Chile appears to be doing some things that other countries in the
region are failing to do. The country's overall prosperity - as
signaled by its macroeconomic statistics - looks like it is beginning to
filter down to the average citizen.
What this means is that the country has taken an important step
toward enlarging its consumer base - 'consumer' being defined
in comparison to what the consumers in the developed nations of the
world look like.
Consider that over the past decade the average annual growth rate
of Chile's GDP was 4.0 percent, a solid performance for any
economy. But not only that, for the same period, per capita income grew
at an average annual rate of 3.9 percent.
And the news continues to be positive.
A Bloomberg news report in late May 2005 cited statistics posted on
the Website of Chile's central bank that showed the economy growing
5.7 percent in the first quarter of 2005 compared with a year earlier.
The bank said that the increase was due to low interest rates, and that
builders and retailers were the main drivers of the expansion.
The performance of the retail sector indicates that consumers are
themselves taking advantage of available credit and spending
enthusiastically.
Another earlier Bloomberg News report said that April consumer
prices had risen at the fastest pace in two years, mostly on the basis
of higher oil prices.
In April 2005 and May 2005 the Central Bank of Chile raised
interest rates twice by a quarter percentage point each time (25 basis
points) to contain any inflationary pressure created by the higher oil
prices and consumer spending. At the bank's most recent meeting of
the Board of Directors, however, (June 7, 2005) it was unanimously
decided to keep interest rates at the May 2005 level.
And, according to a story published in the June 14, 2005 edition of
The Santiago Times (Santiago), Chile is alone among the nations of Latin
America in meeting its Millennium Poverty Goals 10 years ahead of
schedule. The countries were challenged by the United Nations to cut the
number of people living in extreme poverty by half. Chile, so far, is
the only country to have done that.
POVERTY DROPS BUT UNEMPLOYMENT REMAINS STUBBORNLY HIGH
The population growth rate for Chile is below the regional average,
due in part to a birth rate of 17 per thousand inhabitants, which is
lower than the average of 21 per thousand for South America. Job
creation has not kept up with the growth of the labor force in recent
years, and it is unlikely that the situation will improve further in
2005. Unemployment is running about 8.5 percent, but this appears not to
affect consumer confidence.
Chile's population reached 16-million people mid-2004, which
amounted to just over 4 percent of South America's 365- million
inhabitants. According to data released by the Population Reference
Bureau (PRB), Chile's population will reach 20-million by 2025.
Also, according to that source, Chile is going to have a population of
22-million people in 2050.
The PRB revealed that a substantial 87 percent of Chile's
population lived in urban areas during 2004, and that the country's
population density is a comparatively low 55 people per square mile.
Chile is about the same size as Norway and Sweden combined with
approximately half again the population. Norway and Sweden have very low
population density.
Another source of demographic data, the CIA's World Factbook,
indicates that 25 percent of Chile's population was birth to 14
years old in 2004, while 67 percent was 15 to 64 years old, and 8
percent of the populace was 65 years of age and over.
CIA statistics revealed that the country's population growth
rate was 0.97 percent in 2004 and the net migration rate was zero.
According to the United Nations Population Division, in the year
2050, 20 percent of Chile's population will be birth to 14 years
old, while 56 percent will be aged 15 to 59, and 24percent of the
populace will be 60 years of age and over.
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