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Confusion for Australia's consumers.


by MEDIA CONTACT RESOURCES, INC.
Market Asia Pacific • May 1, 2006 •
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Here are two lead paragraphs from stories published within three days of one another by highly respected news organizations.

The first is from the Australian Associated Press (AAP) and it is dated May 2, 2006. "Inflation should remain under control in Australia despite higher petrol prices, a new report has predicted."

The second is from the Financial Times (London) via Yahoo! News and it is dated May 5, 2006. "The Reserve Bank of Australia, the country's central bank, on Friday forecast that inflationary pressure would remain high but stopped short of predicting another imminent interest rate rise."

A third story worth mentioning-reporting on the rate rise by Australia's central bank on May 3, 2006-was also from the AAP, and it quoted the head of the Australian Council of Trade Unions (ACTU) on the impact on the country's consumers. She said, "The pressure on working families is frightening," (The story is dated May 8, 2006.)

As Market: Asia Pacific mentioned in a "Country Focus" last month (15:4) Australia has a fundamental problem in that its consumers are not participating in the growth represented by its GDP. Per capita income is nearly flat, and economic growth is being measured chiefly by business expansion. Consumers have been spending but only because, until now, they have had access to reasonably priced credit.

The head of the ACTU appears to acknowledge the contribution to growth by Australian business, and at the same time she recognizes the squeeze on consumers created by the conflicting views of inflation in the economic establishment. " . . . For the first time ever, the cost of housing and transport has outstripped the cost of food for the average family," she said.

Consumer spending appears to be discounted as a driver of growth in Australia. The problem is further exacerbated by Australia's new labor laws, which introduce an element of flexibility into the hiring and firing process. This reform is much sought in any economy, but in Australia is comes without a significant, parallel investment in human capital, such as enhanced retraining.

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COPYRIGHT 2006 Media Contact Resources, Inc. Reproduced with permission of the copyright holder. Further reproduction or distribution is prohibited without permission.
Copyright 2006, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.
NOTE: All illustrations and photos have been removed from this article.


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