The country of the future: Brazil is roaring ahead
with solutions to the world's obvious crude-oil
addiction.
by Epstein, Jack
Brazil, long impugned as an eco-villain for its pell-mell
destruction of the Amazon rain forest, is now energy self-sufficient,
but the work of state-run oil major Petrobras, while significant, is not
the only the reason why. Forty-five percent of its energy system now is
based on renewable sources (the global average is 14%), according to
Energy Minister Silas Rondeau.
Of course, it helps that 80% of Brazil's oil comes from its
own offshore fields. But much of Brazil's success is due to
ethanol, an alcohol made from sugarcane that is used as an additive to
gasoline. Half of vehicles on Brazilian highways now run on ethanol,
which is cheaper and burns more cleanly than regular gasoline. So-called
"bio-fuel" cars are also a big hit with Brazilian consumers;
nine out of 10 new vehicles sold in 2007 are expected to be bio-fuel. In
2006, the figure should be 75%. Brazil is also working to add soybean
oil to diesel by 2013.
What Brazil is doing is a no-brainer. Brazil started its
fuel-alcohol program three decades ago. The military dictatorship at the
time offered subsidies and price controls to reduce the nation's
dependence on oil after the 1970s oil crisis. But bio-fuel cars
didn't become popular until Brazil developed its own version of
"flex-fuel" technology in 2003, which allows vehicles to run
on ethanol, gasoline or a mixture of both.
Brazilian private companies are busy investing billions in the
construction of some 50 new ethanol production plants. Brazil, which
produces 5 billion gallons of ethanol annually, exported 684 million
gallons last year--a huge 53% slice of the global market--to Latin
America, the United States, Asia and Europe. The United States, the
world's biggest oil consumer, imports nearly 60% of its petroleum
and the U.S. government will spend a paltry $150 million for bio-fuel
research in fiscal 2007.
Brazilian leaders, however, are well aware that their nation
can't meet the growing demand for ethanol alone. Other nations,
particularly poorer nations being squeezed by the tripling of crude
prices, recognize that the technology can slash their oil consumption
now. "We are looking for partnerships ... to implement ethanol
projects in Africa, Latin America and Caribbean countries," Emerson
Kloss, agricultural attache at the Brazil Embassy in Washington D.C.
told me. "The consolidation of a global ethanol market requires a
growing number of players."
As a result, Brazil is looking to share its expertise with the rest
of Latin America, a region that appears primed to become a world leader
in bio-fuel production. Central America has sent delegations to Brazil
to study the production of ethanol; Argentina is using surplus soybeans
to make its own bio-fuel; the Dominican Republic is preparing to add
ethanol to gasoline until it reaches 22%; Jamaica has been producing
ethanol for export to the U.S. market since 2005; Ecuador approved a
project to make ethanol; and Colombia, which recently inaugurated its
first fuel-alcohol distillery, requires motorists in Bogota, Cali and
Popayan to fall their tanks with at least 10% ethanol. More cities are
expected to follow.
While that's a good start, Latin American governments must
also offer incentives and create agencies to encourage the production of
fuel made from corn, prairie grass, sugarcane and vegetable oils such as
sunflower, palm, and rapeseed. Brazil, for example, gives tax breaks to
companies that buy oil seeds from small farmers, who obviously benefit
with jobs and income. Regional governments must also not allow ethanol
programs to increase deforestation, itself the source of 80% of carbon
emissions in Brazil. Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, for
example, must control sugarcane field expansion into the Amazon, which
is already under siege by developers. A regional certification program
for bio-fuels based on environmental and social criteria would be a good
idea.
At the same time, Latin American governments should pursue
renewable energies such as solar, geothermal, and wind power. Thanks to
the Kyoto Protocol, the 1997 international treaty on climate change,
nearly 600 projects are in the pipeline in the developing world to fight
global warming. Forty percent of them are in Latin America, including
hydroelectric power plants in Honduras, and wind turbines in Chile and
in Brazil, home to the largest wind-power park in Latin America, in the
state of Rio Grande do Sul.
With surging oil prices and a growing appetite for bio-fuels, it
would be folly for Latin America not to follow Brazil. While high oil
prices create pain, especially for the poorest, this may be the economic
kick in the pants the world needed to get off crude for good.
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