While the US works to stop Iran from meddling in Iraq, Iranian air
conditioners fill Iraqi appliance stores, Iranian tomatoes ripen on the
window sills of kitchens in Najaf and white Iranian-made Peugeots sit in
Iraqi driveways. Some Iraqi cities, including the oil-producing enclave
of Basra, buy electricity from Iran.
The government relies on Iranian firms to bring gasoline from
Turkmenistan to alleviate a severe shortage. Iraqi officials are
reviewing an application by Iran to open a branch of an Iranian bank in
Baghdad, and Iran has offered Iraq $1 bn in soft loans.
The economies of Iraq and Iran, the largest Shi'ite countries
in the world, are becoming closely inter-twined, with Iranian goods
flooding Iraqi markets and Iraqi cities looking to Iran for basic
services.
After Iran and Iraq fought a bitter war in 1980-88, Saddam's
Sunni/Ba'thist dictatorship maintained tight control over
cross-border trade, but trade has exploded since the US invasion. Much
of the money is heading in one direction: Iraq is becoming dependent on
imports from Iran and elsewhere because Iraqi industries have been
gutted by the UN economic sanctions of the 1990s and the current
turmoil.
Deputy PM for Economics Bahram Saleh, a Kurd, on March 13 was
quoted as saying: "What is happening in Iraq at the moment is a lot
of trade, but it's almost all one-way trade" with Iran. If you
take oil away, there's a lot of imbalance in this". As driving
factors Iraqi Shi'ites cite the hostility of Sunni Arab states to a
Shiite-run Iraq and the ambivalence of the White House towards
Iraq's Islamist Shi'ite parties.
The New York Times on March 13 quoted Sami al-Askari, a
Shi'ite MP who advises PM Maliki, himself a religious Shi'ite
with close ties to Iran, as saying: "If the Shi'ites do not
feel protected, if they feel what they've achieved can't be
maintained, much of the leadership will have to work with Iran. The
Arabs and the Americans are saying Iran is bad, but it's the only
recourse".
According to one commonly cited statistic, trade between Iraq and
Iran has grown 30% a year since the US invasion in 2003. Statistics from
the US Embassy's economic section show that Syria accounted for 22%
of Iraqi imports in 2005 and Turkey 21%. Iran, which has the longest
border with Iraq of any neighbouring country, would fall in that range.
The CIA World Factbook estimates Iraq's total imports in 2006 at
$20.8 bn.
Iranian trade with Iraqi Kurdistan amounted to more than $1 bn in
2006. Iraqi Foreign Minister Hoshyar Zebari, a Kurd, says provincial
governments have been making their own commercial deals with Iranian
interests, but lately he has started ordering them to go through the
Foreign Ministry.
In the Shi'ite religious heartland of the south, Iraqis have
gained handsomely off the new economic ties with Iran, most notably in
the holy cities of Najaf and Karbala', whose shrines draw Iranian
pilgrims by the thousands each month. The headquarters in Najaf of
revered Shi'ite clerics like Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani collect
enormous dues from their satellite offices in Iran. That money ends up
in the local economy.
The Iranian government gives the Najaf government $20m a year to
build and improve tourist facilities for pilgrims. Karbala' gets
about $3m a year. In addition, each Iranian pilgrim spends up to $1,000
on hotels, food and souvenirs. Provincial tourism officials estimate
that at least 22,000 Iranian pilgrims visit Najaf each month and at
least 10,000 travel to Karbala'. Most come on package tours.
The close ties with Iran in the south have drawn scrutiny from the
US. Najaf province had come close to contracting an Iranian firm to
build an airport, but the deal was scuttled at the last minute by the
Transport Ministry in Baghdad after US pressure.
Cities near the Iranian border have turned to Iran to help
alleviate Iraq's chronic power shortage. Iranian goods have
proliferated throughout Iraq. White Peugeot sedans which began rolling
out of Iranian factories in 2005 are sold everywhere in Iraq - Iranian
companies offer attractive financing packages to Iraqi sellers. In the
far south, Basra imports $45m of goods from Iran each year, from carpets
to construction materials to fish and spices. Each day, 100 to 150
commercial trucks drive from Iran to Iraq at the nearby Shalamcha border
crossing.
In the rugged north, Kurdish officials say trade has boomed. In
central Baghdad, piles of Iranian air conditioners with brand names like
Sona, Jayan and Aysan Khazar sit next to Chinese TV sets on sidewalks
outside appliance stores. The blue-and-white air conditioners use a
water-cooling technology and can run on generator power, making them
popular with electricity-starved Iraqis.
Syria For US Talks: Syrian Deputy Foreign Minister Faisal Meqdad on
March 12 called for a "comprehensive dialogue" with the US
after talks in Damascus with US Assistant Secretary of State for
Population, Refugees and Migration Ellen Sauerbrey on the plight of up
to 1m Iraqi refugees in Syria. Sauerbrey ranks as the most senior US
official to visit Damascus since the Bush administration cut high-level
ties with Syria's Alawite/Ba'thist dictatorship of Bashar
al-Assad in 2005, accusing it of negative interference in neighbouring
Lebanon and Iraq.
During her visit, Ms Sauerbrey reviewed the refugee situation with
Meqdad and with officials from the UN High Commissioner for Refugees
(UNHCR). Meqdad said: "We told [Ms Sauerbrey] that all questions
are linked in the Arab region and that a comprehensive dialogue is
needed". The FT on March 13 reported that US officials in Damascus
were unwilling to comment on the trip, saying only: "Her sole focus
will be the Iraqi refugee issue". Syrian officials, however, have
said they want broader discussions with the US. The US trip is another
example of Washington's flirting with Damascus, after two years of
frozen diplomatic relations.
Ms Sauerbrey's arrival was welcomed by Laurens Jolles, the
high representative for the UNHCR in Syria, who said: "The fact
that she is here is an expression of the fact that a lot more needs to
be done". According to UNHCR estimates, more than 2m Iraqis have
fled the violence in Iraq into neighbouring countries since 2003, while
another 1.7m have been displaced internally. Of the bordering countries,
Syria has been affected the most, sheltering close to 1m Iraqis, with up
to 2,000 more arriving each day. Recent Syrian government legislation
had proposed a tightening of restrictions but the government has now
said it will not forcibly deport any Iraqis. Ms Sauerbrey's
regional tour - she was also visiting Jordan and Egypt - was an
indication of a more active US engagement in the refugee crisis,
following recent criticism from Congress.
The tentative US moves encouraged the EU to resume high-level
contacts with Syria, with EU foreign policy chief Javier Solana visiting
Beirut on March 12, Riyadh on March 13 and Damascus on March 14. Solana
urged President Assad for Syria to change its regional policies and
behaviour concerning Lebanon and the Palestinians.
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