While a cursory look at the U.S. studios' bottom lines shows
large amounts of cash sitting idle in their coffers (it's been
reported that CBS has somewhere around $3 billion burning a hole in its
corporate pocket; last year Disney's ABC division raked in a $400
million profit), a serious sense of gloom has descended upon many
Hollywood executives in the last year or so thanks to the studios
cutting back in a big way.
As a result of not-so-stellar returns on the stock market,
companies are using some of their excess cash to buy back their own
stock. For lack of alternatives, they see investment in their own
companies as a good deal. Last month, the CBS Corporation reported a
quarterly profit and announced a buyback of $1.5 billion worth of its
shares. Last February, Disney reported quarterly profits of 50 cents per
share and tied with News Corp. atop the media sector.
Paying dividends is no longer Wall Street's favorite form of
ROI (return on investment)--indeed dividends are seen as a weak way to
pay for parent companies' debts. Take, for example, Viacom, whose
fourth quarter profit rose 271 percent in 2006. At the same time, the
company's Class B shares dropped 47 cents to $38.57 on the New York
Stock Exchange.
Additionally, growth through acquisition is becoming increasingly
difficult since there is very little to acquire that is big enough to
get the Street salivating (this explains why billions sit idle).
Venture capitalists (VCs) and investment funds are furious at the
economic environment because they too are sitting on huge piles of cash
with nowhere to invest them for "indecent" returns (indeed
some VCs are even returning funds to investors).
Under these circumstances studios' MBAs do what they were
trained to do and know best: cut costs to show "efficiency,"
hoping they can get the Street panting (since showing increased revenue
through strength is no longer sufficient).
Some of the first signs of this trend could be seen back in 2005,
when Warner Bros. Entertainment cut 300 jobs, due to the drying up of TV
syndication. Last year, Disney made drastic changes, laying off 650 of
its employees and cutting back on the number of films released annually
(from somewhere around 18 to approximately eight). Despite the fact
that, thanks to a batch of blockbusters, the overseas box office bounced
back in 2006, the low revenues of 2005 seem to be ringing in the ears of
execs and parent companies that have chosen layoffs and cutbacks as
deterrents.
At the beginning of this year, Paramount Pictures announced a
restructuring that divided the company into four units--DreamWorks, MTV
Films/Nickelodeon Movies, Paramount Pictures and Paramount
Vantage--which led to the exit of studio president Gail Berman. Since
then, industry observers have painted a picture of Paramount as a studio
in constant transition.
In February, Paramount's MTV Networks jumped on the layoff
bandwagon, handing out 250 pink slips (representing about six percent of
the company's worldwide workforce) within a one-week period.
Additionally, the company shut down the MTV World linear channels
designed to serve young, multicultural viewers. The Los Angeles Times
reported that Viacom's new management team is very focused on
driving earnings growth and cost-cutting is, in their view, necessary to
accomplish that.
But perhaps the most significant studio shift happened at the end
of last year, when NBC Universal announced that it would restructure to
save $750 million in two years. The NBCU 2.0 plan is designed to tighten
budgets in every department and increase companywide efficiency. But
with the initiative comes about 700 expected layoffs (over the two-year
period), with the NBC News division taking the bulk of the hits.
As part of its 2.0 initiative, the network announced that its 8
p.m. time slot would be dedicated to game shows and other lower-cost
fare. Besides being cheaper to produce (though recognizably less so when
the shows become very successful), those shows also manage to bring in a
younger median age, which translates into ready and willing advertisers.
When the NBC 2.0 initiative was announced, Bob Wright, vice
chairman of GE, and then-president and CEO of NBC Universal, explained
the company's move: "Success in this business means quickly
adjusting to and anticipating change. This initiative is designed to
help us exploit technology and focus our resources as we continue our
transformation into a digital media company for the 21st century."
Jeff Zucker, then-CEO of NBC Universal Television Group (who recently
took over Wright's job) added: "We have to recognize that the
changes of the next five years will dwarf the changes of the last
50."
When asked whether other studios will follow in NBC's
footsteps, Brad Adgate, Horizon Media's svp, Corporate Research
Director, said, "We'll have to wait and see. If this move is
successful, the other studios will follow. Imitation is the sincerest
form of flattery."
But Adgate acknowledged that relying on non-scripted programs in
such a hot daypart, as NBC is, involves a definite risk. "You have
to worry about over-saturation and the fact that these shows have a
limited shelf-life and don't repeat well. The studios need to do a
comprehensive financial analysis to see if all of these things are worth
it." But lately, even hit scripted series like Lost have had
difficulty finding audiences for their second-runs, so the studios face
a real conundrum.
According to Adgate the need for cutbacks and restructuring in
Hollywood can be traced back to consolidation. "There are
relatively few really big companies out there, and they all have their
tentacles in a lot of different places," he said. "Take Sony,
for example: The company had a great year at the box office in 2006, but
they still managed to show a loss in the first quarter of 2007 because
Playstation didn't do very well. All these businesses are tied
together and there's a corporate profit statement they have to
worry about," he said.
But Shelly Palmer, TV industry expert and author, explained that
worrying about the bottom line is nothing new. "With any publicly
traded company, the focus is going to be on enhancing shareholder value
and making a larger profit. These layoffs and restructurings are not
being done in desperation, and are not a reflection of a struggling
economy," he said. "In fact, TV continues to be a fairly
robust business. They are a result of some major changes happening in
the TV industry at the moment.
"It's becoming abundantly obvious that you can't
float through the TV business," Palmer said. In the Brave New World
you either know your stuff and are ready to keep up with media changes,
or you're not."
Specifically, Palmer said, the kinds of employees that are needed
have shifted. "There are vendors that can be outsourced, and in
many cases in-house employees need a whole different set of
skills," he said. "In a lot of cases you need managers rather
than builders."
Palmer stressed that thanks to all the changes ahead, now is just
about the most exciting time in TV history. But he also recognized that
with those changes come some unwanted layoffs and seat shifting.
"If the business is changing, and you don't stay on your game,
you do so at your own peril," he said. "A lot of people will
have to do some personal remediation. Obviously there will be some
unfair layoffs. But everyone I know is bullish. There's a real
transition that's happening, where the networks are not just
networks, they're truly digital content distribution companies, and
that means a whole new structure. There's plenty of action, and
lots of money available--both experimental and real," he said.
While new technological innovations are undoubtedly affecting the
structure of the companies, there's no question Wall Street is
strongly influencing these decisions, seeing the media mammoths as
bloated entities. "Wall Street is watching, and the focus is on
moneymaking," said Adgate. "In the past, when a Woody Allen
film came out you'd ask if it was funny. Now when a movie comes out
all anyone asks is how much money it made."
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