Chile experiences accelerated
growth.
by MEDIA CONTACT RESOURCES, INC.
The NASDAQ website picked up a June 21, 2007 story from the Dow
Jones wires reporting that the Chilean Congress had approved a
us$290-million measure to infuse cash into Transantiago, the transit
agency responsible for the capital city's ailing, revamped bus and
subway system.
Somewhat laconically the story said, "Passengers have
experienced long waits and overcrowding on buses and on the subway. The
problems ran so deep that they triggered a cabinet shuffle."
That's not all the problems triggered.
There were sporadic street riots, and the country's new
President suffered a sharp drop in public opinion polls.
And according to a May 28, 2007 Reuters story, shoppers in Santiago
had enough of a hard time getting to the stores that retail sales growth
was weaker in March 2007 than they were in March 2006. In March 2007,
sales grew 1.7 percent compared with 2.0 percent in 2006.
These problems aside, Chile is on track to post another strong year
of growth.
A local economist quoted in a June 14, 2007 Bloomberg News report
said, "The economy is energized." This is the good news. The
bad news: "Later on, we're going to see more inflationary
pressure from domestic demand."
But at the moment, inflation is under control. The International
Monetary Fund (IMF) expects Chile's rate of inflation to increase
no more than 2.5 percent in 2007. The Central Bank of Chile (CBC)
targets the country's rate of inflation at 3.0 percent plus or
minus 1.0 percent.
And at its policy meeting in mid-June 2007, the CBC decided to hold
its key interest rate steady.
Healthcare and food prices, though, drove up the rate of inflation
0.6 percent in May 2007 when compared with April 2007. April 2007
inflation increased 0.4 percent over March 2007.
A June 7, 2007 Reuters report noted that a survey of local
financial analysts showed an increase in forecast GDP growth for 2007.
The analysts' estimate rose to 5.9 percent for 2007 compared with
5.7 percent previously forecast.
The IMF's forecast for GDP growth for Chile in 2007 is 5.2
percent. For 2008, the IMF estimates 5.1 percent growth.
Chile has been enormously successful in recent years in controlling
inflation, and consequently enjoys a stellar reputation for
macroeconomic stability.
The Governor of the CBC, in a presentation at the Bank of Rome on
June 16, 2007, attributed Chile's success in taming inflation to
the adoption of a floating exchange rate, highly efficient monetary
policy, moving to an inflation targeting regime, and the enhanced
autonomy of the CBC itself. It is worth noting that these macro efforts
are market directed.
For Chile, however, the efforts are not a panacea. Unemployment is
high-7.8 percent, and over 18 percent of the population lives below the
poverty line.
COUNTRY FOCUS:
COPYRIGHT 2007 Media Contact Resources,
Inc. Reproduced with permission of the copyright holder. Further reproduction or distribution is prohibited without permission.
Copyright 2007, Gale Group. All rights
reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.
NOTE: All illustrations and photos have been removed from this article.