The Finance Minister for many years and Minister of Economy &
Commerce since March 2006, Kamal on April 2 unveiled the largest budget
in Qatar's history, with a generous allocation for infrastructure
development and an expectation Qatar's GDP will continue to
increase over the next six years. Its highlight is a 20% rise in state
spending, after a 44% rise in the 2006/07 budget. Income is to rise 27%
to QR 72.47 bn for 2007/08, from QR 56.9 bn for 2006/07, based on strong
growth and the outlook for the oil, gas and petrochemicals sectors (see
down9QatrEnBasAug27-07).
Kamal is interested in the big picture, creating a sustainable
economy regardless of oil price. In April he said: "The budget I
announced shows Qatar is always thinking long term. Our plans are for
2012 and beyond - in fact, we have to plan for as far away as
2025".
Doha on July 16 decided to unify its financial regulatory system,
thus broadening the international standards championed by the Qatar
Financial Centre (QFC) across the emirate. The yet unnamed unified
regulator, scheduled to start work in early 2008, will consist of the
Central Bank's Banking Supervision Department, the newly formed
regulator of Doha's stock market and the QFC, which has since 2005
attracted about 50 international companies. Local banks, brokerages,
insurance and asset management firms will have to come into line with a
tighter regulatory structure by about 2010.
The move is unusual for a region usually slow to adopt greater
transparency, underlining Doha's determination to raise standards
so financial firms can compete on the global stage. The new regulator
will lead to a rewriting of old commercial and financial codes which are
a concern for foreign firms doing business in the GCC area. Phillip
Thorpe, CEO of the Qatar Financial Centre Regulatory Authority (QFCRA),
says Qatar has taken a reform-minded step which other regional states
would find difficult to follow, adding: "The process will be
difficult for some firms and I am sure we will have to deal with some
cultural issues - but there is the political will to make it
happen". Thorpe had a role in the formation of the UK's
Financial Services Authority, which in the late 1990s merged 10
regulatory bodies.
Qatar has 25 banks, insurance firms and brokerages, most of which
enjoying stellar profits amid the oil boom, making change easier to
effect. And tighter regulations standards are already arriving through
self-regulation and introduction of Basle-II standards in the banking
sector. The QFC, formed in 2005, has lured international names as many
of the banks expanding into the region to harness surplus petrodollars
have realised they need to put people on the ground across the GCC, not
just in Dubai or Bahrain. Banks like Deutsche Bank and Goldman Sachs are
opening offices in Doha, hoping to win a share of projects worth
$100-130 bn and to manage the wealth of the country, which has one of
the world's largest per capita GDPs - in Qatar in 2006 having
exceeded $30,000.
Spiralling rent prices and a high cost of living are pushing
expatriates to leave Qatar, however, despite Doha promising a
demographic boom driven by GDP growth. An unfurnished two-bedroom
apartment in 2003 cost QR1,500-2,500/month. This had risen to QR8,400 by
mid-2007. Inflation driven by unregulated rents makes all basic
commodities expensive. Wealth is in the hands of a small business elite.
There is an acute shortage of skills in Qatar.
Kamal in February said inflation could be brought under control. He
said Qatar's economy was going through a transitional period, of
which inflation was one outcome. He outlined the ways inflation could be
brought down to take cash from the market, saying: "We could also
reduce the government budget and instead of investing $30 bn a year in
the energy sector, spend $10 bn. Inflation would then automatically come
down as the number of people coming to Qatar for employment would also
go down. Demand would then decrease". For now, however, growth is
to continue. Doha's recent pledge to bid for both the 2016 Olympics
and the 2018 World Cup was another huge statement of intent.
Qatar is active on the world economic stage. The Qatar Investment
Authority (QIA)-backed Delta Two has $2.8 bn stake in J Sainsbury, the
UK retailer. It is the latest in a series of international investments
by state-backed firms, including the acquisition of London's
Chelsea Barracks. In February, the state was named as backer for a $3 bn
property development overlooking London's Hyde Park. The QIA is in
talks to buy 10% of Airbus' parent Eads, the European aerospace
giant. Kamal's diversification strategy is starting to pay
dividends.
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