Central Bank Governor Shaikh Abdullah on Sept. 11, 2007, said Qatar
would keep its rial pegged to the US dollar. This came amid speculation
GCC states could follow Kuwait in having a basket of currencies to ease
inflation. Qatar's inflation peaked at 15% in March this year, but
fell to 13% in June. He said this would drop to 10% within a year.
At a meeting of Arab central bankers in Damascus, Shaikh Abdullah
said: "We are taking measures...which would lead to a gradual
decrease in inflation". Kuwait in March broke ranks with the other
five GCC members - Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, Bahrain and Oman - when
it shifted to a basket of currencies, arguing rising cost of non-dollar
imports was pushing up inflation. The FT on Sept. 12 quoted Simon
Williams, an economist with HSBC in Dubai, as saying it was too early to
judge whether Kuwait's revaluation would tame inflation, adding:
"Kuwaiti inflation still seems to be a domestic story".
Kuwait's drop of the dollar peg it adopted a few years ago to usher
in a planned GCC monetary union in 2010, threw into doubt that project
and raised the possibility other GCC states would follow suit. At a
recent meeting of GCC central bank governors Hamad al-Sayari, governor
of the Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency (SAMA), said meeting the 2010
deadline would be increasingly difficult but reaffirmed GCC
members' commitment to the dollar peg. GCC states are concerned by
the potential for a US interest rate cut this month. GCC rates usually
track the Federal Reserve but economists say it is unlikely the booming
GCC, cyclically out of step with the US, will follow any Fed decision to
cut rates in a bid to revive growth after the US sub-prime crisis.
Riyadh did not follow several Fed decisions in 2006.
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