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Is exchange rate pass-through in pork meat export prices constrained by the supply of live hogs?


by Gervais, Jean-Philippe^Khraief, Naceur

[[beta].sup.j, JP] Capacity, [[lambda].sup.j] -0.958 -14.48 Hog price, [[phi].sup.j] 0.016 0.21 Adjusted [R.sup.2] 0.79 Jarque-Bera normality test 0.47 Significance of predetermined Wald test p-value

hog supplies [H.sub.0] : [[beta].sup.j, US] = 121.81 0.000

[[lambda].sup.j] = 0

Manitoba Variable Coefficient t-Statistic Constant 0.456 2.02 U.S. exchange rate, 0.977 13.96

[[beta].sup.j, US] Japan exchange rate, -0.906 -7.59

[[beta].sup.j, JP] Capacity, [[lambda].sup.j] 0.155 2.18 Hog price, [[phi].sup.j] 0.086 1.08 Adjusted [R.sup.2] 0.45 Jarque-Bera normality test 34.11 Significance of predetermined Wald test p-value

hog supplies [H.sub.0] : [[beta].sup.j, US] = 40.15 0.000

[[lambda].sup.j] = 0

Ontario Variable Coefficient t-Statistic Constant 1.990 9.68 U.S. exchange rate, -0.465 -4.15

[[beta].sup.j, US] Japan exchange rate, 1.008 5.79

[[beta].sup.j, JP] Capacity, [[lambda].sup.j] -0.307 -5.58 Hog price, [[phi].sup.j] 0.183 3.76 Adjusted [R.sup.2] 0.66 Jarque-Bera normality test 15.73 Significance of predetermined Wald test p-value

hog supplies [H.sub.0] : [[beta].sup.j, US] = 29.69 0.000

[[lambda].sup.j] = 0 Note: The adjusted [R.sup.2] is computed from the first-step unrestricted model estimated with DOLS. The Jarque-Bera statistic is computed using the pre-whitened residuals obtained from the DOLS procedure. The test statistic follows a chi-squared distribution with two degrees of freedom under the null hypothesis that the residuals are normally distributed. The Wald statistics follow a chi-squared distribution with two degrees of freedom. Table 4. Coefficients of the ERPT Standard Specification That Does Not Account for Predetermined Supplies

United States

Quebec Variables Coefficient t-Statistic Constant 0.236 22.57 U.S. exchange rate, [[beta].sup.j, US] -0.546 -13.48 Hog price, [[phi].sup.j] 0.535 12.14

United States

Manitoba Variables Coefficient t-Statistic Constant 0.181 16.75 U.S. exchange rate, [[beta].sup.j, US] -0.403 -9.60 Hog price, [[phi].sup.j] 0.698 14.42

United States

Ontario Variables Coefficient t-Statistic Constant 0.226 23.33 U.S. exchange rate, [[beta].sup.j, US] -0.668 -19.10 Hog price, [[phi].sup.j] 0.556 14.41

Japan

Quebec Variable Coefficient t-Statistic Constant 0.750 5.83 Japan exchange rate, [[beta].sup.j, JP] 0.620 9.55 Hog price, [[phi].sup.j] 0.281 3.83

Japan

Manitoba Variable Coefficient t-Statistic Constant 0.751 5.82 Japan exchange rate, [[beta].sup.j, JP] 0.029 0.44 Hog price, [[phi].sup.j] 0.078 1.01

Japan

Ontario Variable Coefficient t-Statistic Constant 0.727 8.44 Japan exchange rate, [[beta].sup.j, JP] 0.261 0.22 Hog price, [[phi].sup.j] 0.251 5.23


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COPYRIGHT 2007 American Agricultural Economics Association Reproduced with permission of the copyright holder. Further reproduction or distribution is prohibited without permission.
Copyright 2007, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.
NOTE: All illustrations and photos have been removed from this article.


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