Agricultural production is struggling to keep pace with demand as
diets improve around the world and agricultural products become more
central to energy markets, according to a report being released by
Credit Suisse Group. The structural changes in agriculture markets mean
commodity prices, and therefore consumer food prices, will continue to
stay aloft over coming years, with emerging markets feeling more of the
burden since a larger slice of their spending is more heavily weighted
toward food, the report says. However, net agriculture exporters, like
Brazil and Malaysia, and foreign food companies with lower labor costs
could benefit.
Exacerbating the situation is the advent of biofuels. The report
estimates that crops grown to meet government biofuel mandates
world-wide will account for 12 percent of total arable and permanent
cropland over the next 10 to 15 years, up from about 2 percent today.
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