Signaling corporate strategy in IPO communication: a
study of biotechnology IPOs on the NASDAQ.
by Gao, Hongzhi^Darroch, Jenny^Mather, Damien^MacGregor,
Alan
A clear corporate strategy communication can be a signal to
financial analysts and public investors at the time of an initial public
offering (IPO). This study examines IPO prospectuses of 57 biotechnology
firms listed on the NASDAQ between 1997 and 2002. Using regression
analysis, this article shows that the clarity, intensity, and
consistency of the corporate strategy signal are not strong enough to
affect the 1st-day initial returns. However, consistent communication of
a prospector strategy negatively impacts 30-day initial returns, whereas
consistent communication of a defender strategy positively impacts
30-day initial returns.
Keywords: corporate strategy; communication; IPO; market signal
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Uncertainty characterizes the time surrounding an initial public
offering (IPO). It is difficult to predict how the market will perform
following the IPO date (Ibbotson, 1975). Similarly, determining a fair
market value of the firm is complex because of the newness of the firm
to the market (Certo, 2003) and the entrepreneurial nature of some IPO
firms (Certo, Daily, & Dalton, 2001; Daily, Certo, Dalton, &
Roengpitya, 2003). Researchers attribute this uncertainty to information
asymmetry or knowledge gaps between informed and uninformed investors
(Ibbotson, 1975; Ibbotson, Sindelar, & Ritter, 1988; Rock, 1986).
Although some debate exists about which investors are more informed,
this article takes the positions that (a) IPO issuers are more informed
than public investors and (b) institutional investors are more informed
than small investors (Daily et al., 2003; Ritter & Welch, 2002).
Extant research has applied signaling theory widely to address this
information asymmetry dilemma (Daily et al., 2003). Signaling theory
suggests that certain indicators provide signals to potential investors
about the capabilities of the IPO firm and therefore the likely future
value of the firm (Deeds, DeCarolis, & Coombs, 1997). Research
reports that credible communication outlining important information at
the time of an IPO can reduce the information asymmetry between IPO
issuers and investors. So far, the types of information included in
research are (a) the composition of the board; (b) the reputation of the
underwriter; (c) the source and amount of venture capital; (d) the
nature of the firm's intellectual capital; and (e) the ability of
those within the firm to manage knowledge. Credible communication also
helps IPO issuers reduce the information asymmetry between informed and
uninformed investors and maximize the value of going public (Azarmi,
2002; Bukh, Nielsen, Gormsen, & Mouritsen, 2002; Carter, Dark, &
Singh, 1998; Certo et al., 2001; Megginson & Weiss, 1991; Neck,
Welbourne, & Meyer, 2000; Rosenstein & Wyatt, 1997). One
possible explanation for the link between credible communication and the
value of an IPO is that shareholders increasingly seek strategic
information (such as the information described above) in order to
explain an investment opportunity (Brown, 1997; Desai, 2000; Higgins
& Diffenbach, 1989; Neck et al., 2000).
A group of studies reports that communication on corporate strategy
received by the stock market has a significant impact on the value of
shares in the market (Day & Fahey, 1990; Higgins & Bannister,
1992; Higgins & Diffenbach, 1985; Parnell & Wright, 1993).
However, we are not aware of any published studies that empirically
examine the relationship between corporate strategy communication and
returns to IPO investors on both the 1st day and in the short-term
after-IPO market (e.g., 30-day returns). This oversight is surprising
because the communication of corporate strategy has been extensively
argued to affect the market price and shareholder value in the long
after-IPO market (e.g., a year or more after the event; Day & Fahey,
1990; Desai, 2000; Higgins & Bannister, 1992; Higgins &
Diffenbach, 1985). This article proposes that the communication of
corporate strategy at the time of an IPO provides cues to assist
analysts and investors in deciding whether or not to invest in an IPO
firm. This view becomes particularly important when the IPO firm first
goes public because IPO managers must find a mechanism to communicate
their firm's quality in order to reduce the ex ante uncertainty and
thus reduce the need to discount the stock price to attract
less-informed investors (Daily et al., 2003). Through the credible
communication of corporate strategy, investors and analysts will better
understand a firm's strategic posture, activities, and plans and
then be able to assess the fit between internal resources, the
firm's corporate strategy, and the external environment in which
the firm operates. Thus, by obtaining strategic information, investors
and analysts are in a better position to infer the potential value of
the firm (Day & Fahey, 1990). This article proposes a significant
advantage for an IPO firm that provides as part of IPO documentation an
overview of the firm's corporate strategy as "information
cue" (Miles & Snow, 1978).
Underpricing is generally defined as the difference between the
price at which the firm's stock was initially offered and the
stock's closing price on the 1st day of trading (Ibbotson, 1975;
Ibbotson et al., 1988; Ritter, 1998). Although a number of theoretical
explanations (e.g., risk-averse underwriter, information asymmetry, and
bandwagon) exist for IPO underpricing, this article adopts the
information asymmetry approach. Therefore, we assert that if IPO
communication is credible, then underpricing will be minimized and so
the 1st-day returns will be close to expected returns (Certo et al.,
2001; Ritter, 1998).
Of the studies that examine the relationship between an IPO event
and investor returns, most focus on the returns on the 1st day of an IPO
event as an indicator of information asymmetry in the market (Bukh et
al., 2002; Certo, 2003; Certo et al., 2001; Durukan, 2002; Megginson
& Weiss, 1991; Neck et al., 2000; Rosenstein & Wyatt, 1997).
However, we also propose that returns at some stage after an IPO event
should be examined because of market instability and opportunistic
behavior surrounding the IPO event. By taking a slightly longer term
view (in this case, 30 days after an IPO event), this research controls
for the effect of opportunistic investors who order stocks before the
1st day and then on-sell these stocks soon after (Finkle & Lamb,
2002; Ritter, 1991, 1998). Accordingly, this research includes both
investor returns on the 1st day and 30 days after an IPO event to
examine the effect of the strategy signal.
This article is structured as follows: We begin by presenting a
theoretical framework, based on market signal and corporate strategy
theory, before presenting research hypotheses. Next, the population of
biotechnology IPO firms used in the nominated time period is described
and an overview of the content analysis method used for data analysis is
provided. Finally, we discuss our findings and the implications of these
for both research and practice.
LITERATURE REVIEW
Corporate Strategy and Shareholder Value
Corporate strategy can influence the performance of an organization
(Mintzberg, Lampel, Quinn, & Ghoshal, 2003). With a sound corporate
strategy, a firm can consistently create high value through its
integrated business activities; with a weak corporate strategy, the
value of a firm's business activities deteriorates (Goold,
Campbell, & Alexander, 1994). Thus, shareholders see corporate
strategy as an important proxy for the likely value of the firm (Day
& Fahey, 1990).
Corporate strategy provides a navigation map to the investors and
analysts (Desai, 2000). The effective communication of corporate
strategy is important because it builds relationships with and
encourages the involvement of investors and analysts (Bukh et al., 2002;
Desai, 2000). Effective communication of corporate strategy can also
enhance shareholder satisfaction (Higgins & Bannister, 1992) and
build employee morale (Burgi & Roos, 2003). Credible communication
further enables managers within the firm to crystallize and clearly
articulate corporate strategy to employees and investors alike. This, in
turn, helps managers reinforce or redevelop strategic choices (Burgi
& Roos, 2003) and increases the confidence stakeholders place upon
the strategic ability of management (Mintzberg et al., 2003).
Although those within the firm endeavor to better communicate
corporate strategy, evidence suggests that shareholders also seek to
better understand the strategic posture of the firm (Day & Fahey,
1990; Rapport, 1981). Possible explanations for this phenomenon are as
follows: (a) The environment in which many firms operate is ever more
dynamic and competitive (Brown, 1997; Lynch, 2000; Mintzberg et al.,
2003; Rapport, 1981); or (b) traditional financial measures are no
longer comprehensive indicators of internal management capabilities
(Beattie, 1999; Eccles, Hertz, Keegan, & Philips, 2001). This second
point is especially relevant with IPO firms, which often lack financial
history; furthermore, any history might be distorted by a long R&D
stage and negative profit (Cumby & Conrod, 2001).
Corporate Strategy as an IPO Market Signal
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