INDIA MADE A STRONG ALLIANCE IN THE BATTLE FOR economic growth when
JP Morgan Chase & Co., the third largest U.S. bank, set up a $2
billion fund focusing on infrastructure investments. The initiative
spawned a series of committed investments to the "Look East"
prospectus, which thrusts Prime Minister Manmohan Singh's
well-publicized price tag of $150 billion into the limelight. With or
without ongoing economic development campaigns in the United States,
Thailand, and Singapore, spending on India's roads, ports, and
power from the cities of Chennai and New Delhi to Darjeeling and
Calcutta may triple over the next five years.
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Improvements can't happen soon enough for Hyundai Motor,
Nokia, Dell, SemIndia, and the other companies that aligned early on
with India to move its manufacturing capabilities forward.
Despite economic development resulting from the U.S. outsourcing
proliferation that added approximately 400,000 customer service and
information technology jobs in the country, India faces destabilizing
problems: significant overpopulation, environmental degradation,
extensive poverty, and ethnic and religious strife. An additional and
highly visible problem, deficient infrastructure has been
industry's greatest roadblock in its passage to India.
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Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu estimates that companies must tack up to 5
percent onto the costs of doing business in India due to well-worn
infrastructure. Frequent power outages, bad roads, and packed ports have
forced manufacturers to accelerate production by 10 days as a buffer to
shipping delays throughout the country.
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IIE member Jamshed Modi, Ph.D., a professor of operations
management at the SP Jain Institute of Management & Research in
Bombay, points out that like every other country, India holds both
opportunities and shortcomings as a result of its geography.
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"I think India's infrastructure already has and will
continue to be a huge drag on its development, and it is not likely to
surpass China in the foreseeable future, certainly not within three to
five years," said Modi. "Ultimately, national development is
dependent on national character, and as long as India's governing
bodies (the central parliament, the state legislatures, the city
municipalities, and on down) continue to have the large percentage of
poorly educated, unprincipled, and even under-trial representatives that
they do, infrastructure and general development will be slow."
Today's story
Speed does enable profit in supply chains. If painful delays
continue to be compounded by lenient traffic rules along one of the
largest road networks in the world, will Hyundai Motor India carry forth
with plans to expand its dealer network and raise its production
capacity to 600,000 automobiles? Can businesses hold on another 12 years
for the Golden Quadrilateral highway to reach its 40,000th mile? Will
six- to 10-hour power outages still be common after the construction
cranes have left?
Ram Kolluri, CEO of Global Investment Management, insists that the
"modern story" of India is very real, exciting, and full of
advantages. He focuses on core bounties that the country offers rather
than the pitfalls he dismisses as "old views" of India. Gains
include a viable railway system in which 10,000-plus trains are built
each day, democracy, and tremendous education opportunities.
"India has poured money into education since its independence.
You could have gone to college and not even paid $10 to get a
professional engineering degree. In the last 50 years, the country
produced a world-class engineering, science, and mathematical
pool," said Kolluri, who settled in the United States 25 years ago
as a financial planner. He travels to India each year for business as a
certified accountant.
"Add the English language. All advanced education was in
English. You now have a very powerful balance of talent and pro-business
acumen. Half of the population [500 million] is under 25 years old. This
is the youngest population in the world, so there is no shortage of
labor pool."
Recently, students took up the cause with the bustling city of
Mumbai as their focal point. At an event organized by the National
Institute of Industrial Engineering, management students brainstormed
how the city of more than 15 million people could, given its host of
infrastructure and sanitation problems, achieve the goal of becoming an
internationally renowned urban center. Students had suggestions: appoint
a CEO of Mumbai, reclaim land from the sea, use waterways to ferry
commuters, use video conferencing to avoid transportation costs, and
designate economic zones throughout the city.
Throughout Mumbai, mega-development projects vie for attention. The
roads that line the city are responsible for the transport of more than
four-fifths of the world's goods, with engineering materials,
chemicals, and gems and jewelry the fastest-growing sectors.
"Today, you have a powerful working population. The biggest
story is the middle class. Ten years ago, the average income for a
family was $3,000; today, the average is $10,000. You have a middle
class that is hungry for consumer products, hungry for education;
it's a consumer boom that will last 20,30,40 years," said
Kolluri.
"Not long ago, we hardly had 2 million telephone lines; now we
have 300 million. Even people who are laborers on the land selling
vegetables, caddying vegetables over their heads, have a cell phone. You
can make a call to the United States for five cents a minute. You cannot
do that in the States. The penetration of the Internet is also an
incredible velocity in business matters. Overpopulation and poverty are
old views of India," he said.
More relevant views of the country would include the following
facts: India's population grows by 1,815 people every hour, and
more people live in India than all the residents of North America, South
America, and Australia combined.
Modern movement
To meet the demands of consumerism, transportation companies
abound.
Third-party logistics providers are familiar with the varied
landscapes of India that give credence to its reputation as a
"subcontinent." In parts of the north, 3 PL workers share
transport routes with tractors, wild sheep, and musk deer ambling
alongside vegetable carts. The 1,568-mile Ganges River, running along
the Himalayans, supports more than 100 cities and countless villages in
intimate religious rituals, drinking water, and farming provisions. In
everyday business conventions, the river also functions as an energy
source and chemical waste ground for the leather industry, which
accounts for approximately 2.5 million employees in India.
In conjunction with Penske Logistics, Robert Lieb, Ph.D., professor
of supply chain management at Northeastern University, conducted a
survey of CEOs from more than 40 of the world's largest 3PL
providers to study trends across three regions: North America, Europe,
and Asia-Pacific.
"Six of the CEOs indicated that their companies have
established 3PL services in India. The business press has often focused
upon India's lack of a modern transportation infrastructure as
something that might limit future economic growth," said Lieb.
"The CEOs were asked if that issue has caused any significant
problems in the operations in India, and interestingly, only one of the
six who responded to the question indicated that it had."
Typical problems were cited: congestion, toll road blocks, and
faulty distribution structures.
"When you bring the level of activity predicted--12 percent or
so of increased production growth--you're going to see really
serious problems such as highway congestion around the ports in
particular," said Lieb. "If you're trying to run a lean
manufacturing operation, you will back up your production process with a
lot of safety stock, which will make operating costs go up. In many
cities, when production volume goes up, you have several hours every day
of gridlock.
"When you talk to companies operating in China for a good
while, they will tell you that politics vary from being a minor
annoyance to a major impediment. Doing business day to day, after a
while if you have opportunities in other places without these issues,
you will eventually go to them."
According to Inbound Logistics, China's investment in
infrastructure has been eight times that of India, and the lead-times
for India's exports to China range from six to 12 weeks while the
same export category from China to the United States is two to three
weeks. The cargo transport expense in India is among the highest in the
world at 11 percent compared to the global average of 6 percent.
C.P. Jhamb, project director for the Nuclear Power Corp. of India
Ltd., further suggests that movement delays in the transport of goods
such as medical supplies shouldn't exist at all.
"The issues of timing, care, and safety can cause nightmares
when small but high-value consignments of life-saving medical supplies,
other highly perishable items, and items with expiration date
restrictions are not delivered in time either due to transportation
problems or improper handling and procedural delays at the port of
clearance," said Jhamb. "As such, the quality of
infrastructure is important for such critical and time-bound deliveries.
The logistics firms which offer supply chain services for
transportation, storage, distribution, packaging, temperature-controlled
storage facilities, tracking, and service support cannot afford any
goof-ups in such cases."
COPYRIGHT 2008 Institute of Industrial Engineers,
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NOTE: All illustrations and photos have been removed from this article.