Slow growth is the most likely forecast for the coming year Wayne
County--but note the word growth is used here. This area has been hit
hard by job declines in manufacturing in recent years and its population
has also declined.
Looking at recent trends in quarterly employment, there are
encouraging increases occurring in more sectors than not. The health
care and social services sector is contributing more jobs and higher
wages to the community, likely due to the significant changes with Reid
Hospital and the likely growth of business services contributing to that
regional health care facility. Construction has also benefited, with a
16.7 percent increase in the number of jobs between 2006 and 2007 and
13.3 percent increase in wages for that sector.
Manufacturing continues to shed jobs in the area, but at a slower
rate. For those working in manufacturing, wages continue to increase and
this industry continues to pay the highest weekly wage in the area (see
Table 1).
Overall economic productivity is forecasted to climb out of the
negative and into positive territory by 2009 (see Figure 1). But as the
economy of Richmond and Wayne County continues to strengthen in the
services sectors, such as health and business, it is likely that
employment opportunities will also increase in other lower performing
sectors.
[FIGURE 1 OMITTED]
Carol O. Rogers
Deputy Director, Indiana Business Research Center, Kelley School of
Business, Indiana University
Table 1
Covered Employment and Wages for Wayne County, 2007:1
Percent Average
Change Weekly
Industry Jobs Since 2006:1 Wage
Totals 32,715 -1.1 $628
Growth in Jobs and Wages
Health Care and 5,023 1.0 $713
Increase in Wages
Retail Trade 3,975 0.3 $398
Accommodation and 2,813 1.8 $209
Food Services
Wholesale Trade 921 2.7 $771
Construction 852 16.7 $709
Professional, Scientific, 407 0.7 $557
and Technical Services
Decline in Jobs But
Increase in Wages
Manufacturing 7,112 -1.7 $786
Transportation and 1,041 -8.2 $724
Warehousing
Finance and Insurance 937 -0.2 $732
Information 508 -1.2 $572
Decline in Both Jobs and Wages
Educational Services 3,307 -0.5 $550
Arts, Entertainment, 141 -0.7 $241
and Recreation
Percent
Change
Industry Since 2006:1
Totals 5.0
Growth in Jobs and Wages
Health Care and 16.1
Increase in Wages
Retail Trade 1.8
Accommodation and -0.9
Food Services
Wholesale Trade -3.0
Construction 13.3
Professional, Scientific, 0.7
and Technical Services
Decline in Jobs But
Increase in Wages
Manufacturing 3.4
Transportation and 7.1
Warehousing
Finance and Insurance 0.3
Information 4.2
Decline in Both Jobs and Wages
Educational Services -1.4
Arts, Entertainment, -5.5
and Recreation
Source: IBRC, based on ES-202 data
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