Finally, we carry out one last simplification of the problem. Let
[s.sub.i] = [x.sub.i][t.sup.W.sub.i] + (1 - [x.sub.i])[t.sup.L.sub.i] in
(2). Given suppliers' risk neutrality and the linearity of the
scoring rule, there is no loss in defining the outcome of a scoring
auction as the pair ([x.sub.i], [s.sub.i]), rather than ([x.sub.i],
[t.sup.W.sub.i], [t.sup.L.sub.i]). Suppliers' expected payoff is
thus given by
[x.sub.i]k ([[theta].sub.i) - [s.sub.i], (5)
Notation. For the remainder, we adopt the following notation and
conventions. The outcome function of a scoring auction is a vector of
probabilities of winning ([x.sub.1], ..., [x.sub.N]) and scores to
fulfill by each supplier, ([s.sub.i], ..., [S.sub.N]). (If the outcome
in a given scoring auction is stochastic, these are distributions over
vectors of probabilities of winning and scores.) The arguments in these
functions are the bids submitted by all suppliers, {([pi.sub.i],
[Q.sub.i]).sup.N.sub.i=1]. (9) Later in the article, we will switch to a
direct revelation mechanism approach where the outcome will be a
function of suppliers' pseudotypes, ([k.sub.1], ..., [k.sub.N])
[member of] [R.sub.N]. To avoid introducing too much new notation, we
shall make these the arguments of the x and s functions. We shall also
write [x.sub.i]([k.sub.i]) to denote the expectation of [x.sub.i] over
the types of the other suppliers, [E.sub.k-i] [x.sub.i] ([k.sub.i] -
[K.sub.-i]). The arguments will be spelled out whenever confusion is
possible.
3. A sufficient statistics result
Suppliers' pseudotypes are sufficient statistics in this
environment if knowing the distribution of suppliers' pseudotypes
is all one needs in order to describe the set of equilibrium outcomes of
the auction and evaluate the buyer's expected payoff.
In this section, we prove that pseudotypes are sufficient
statistics. Proving this result requires two steps. First, we show that
all equilibria of the scoring auction are outcome equivalent to an
equilibrium where suppliers are forced to submit bids only as a function
of their pseudotypes. We define two equilibria as outcome equivalent if
they both lead to the same distribution of outcomes ([x.sub.1], ...,
[x.sub.N]) and ([s.sub.1], ..., [S.sub.N]) in the aggregate. Because
outcome equivalence is not enough to guarantee that the buyer is
indifferent among these equilibria, we next prove the stronger result
that the equilibria in the scoring auction and in the constrained
scoring auction have the same distribution of outcomes, conditional on
types.
Lemma 1. All equilibria of a quasilinear scoring auction are
outcome equivalent to an equilibrium where bidders with the same
pseudotypes adopt the same strategies.
Proof. Consider any equilibrium ([[epsilon].sub.i], ...,
[[epsilon].sub.i]), where [[epsilon].sub.i] is a mapping from
[[theta].sub.i] to a distribution over (p, Q) [member of] [R.sup.M+1].
Then, for all [[theta].sub.i], for all [[theta].sub.i] and all
([p.sup.*.sub.i], [Q.sup.*.sub.i]) in the support of supplier i's
equilibrium strategy,
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (6)
where the expression for supplier i's expected profit derives
from (5). In (6), suppliers' private information enters their
objective function only through their pseudotypes. Thus, supplier i is
indifferent among the strategies played by all the realizations of
supplier i's type with the same pseudotype.
We can construct a new equilibrium, ([[??].sub.1], ...,
[[??].sub.N]), such that:
1. [[??].sub.i]([[theta].sub.i) = k([[??].sub.i]) whenever
k([[theta].sub.i]) = k([[??].sub.i]).
2. Define [[THETA].sub.i](k) = {[theta].sub.i] [member of] |
k([[theta].sub.i]) = k}. For each k in the support of bidder i's
pseudotypes, the distribution over (p, Q) generated under [[??].sub.i]
for a given [[theta].sub.i] [member of] [member of] [[THETA].sub.i](k)
replicates the aggregate distribution over (p, Q) over all
[[theta].sub.i] [member of] [[THETA].sub.i] (k) under [[epsilon].sub.i].
By construction, the distribution of bidder i's
opponents' strategies is the same as before from bidder i's
perspective. Moreover, [[??].sub.i] is a best response for bidder i.
Hence it is an equilibrium, and bidders' strategies are only a
function of their pseudotypes. By construction, ([[??].sub.1], ...
[[??].sub.N]) and ([[epsilon].sub.1], ..., [[epsilon].sub.N]) lead to
the same aggregate distribution of (p, Q) and therefore scores and
probabilities of winning. Q.E.D.
An aspect of Lemma 1 worth stressing is the role played by the
assumption that types are independent across bidders. From the
expression of suppliers' expected profit,
[x.sub.i]k([[theta].sub.i]) - [s.sub.i], we already know that their
payoffs are only a function of their pseudotypes. Independence ensures
that their beliefs are also independent of their types beyond their
pseudotypes (actually, independence is stronger: it makes
suppliers' beliefs independent of their types and pseudotypes).
Without independence, bidders' private information would enter
their expected payoff in (6), both through their pseudotypes and through
their expectations over their opponents' types.
Lemma 1 implies that the set of possible outcomes ([x.sub.1], ...,
[x.sub.N]) and ([s.sub.1], ..., [s.sub.N]) Can be generated by
equilibria where suppliers bid exclusively on the basis of their
pseudotypes. However, it does not imply that nothing is lost by
restricting attention to these equilibria. Outcome equivalence does not
imply utility equivalence for the buyer. To see this, consider the
following example.
Consider two equally likely types, [[theta].sub.i] and [[??].sub.1]
(this assumption is inessential for the argument) such that
k([[theta].sub.i]) = k([[??].sub.i]) and suppose that, in equilibrium,
they get a different outcome: ([x.sub.i], [s.sub.i]) and ([[??].sub.i],
[[??].sub.i]). By definition, these two types generate expected utility
f([[theta].sub.i])[s.sub.i] + [f.sub.i]([[??].sub.i])[[??].sub.i] for
the buyer, according to the scoring rule. However, this differs from
true expected utility if [phi](.) [not equal to] v(., t). To know how
much expected utility the suppliers generate for the buyer, we need to
know how they will satisfy their obligations. Let Q and Q be the choice
of [[theta].sub.i] and [[??].sub.i], respectively (these are independent
of [s.sub.i] and [[??].sub.i]). The total monetary transfer from the
buyer to the suppliers is then given by [x.sub.i] [phi](Q) - [s.sub.i]
[phi]([??]) - [[??].sub.i], and the buyer's true expected utility
is given by
[f.sub.i]([[theta].sub.i])[[x.sub.i](v(Q, t) - [theta](Q)) +
[s.sub.i] + [[??].sub.i](v([??], t) - [phi](Q)) + [[??].sub.i].
This equilibrium is outcome equivalent to an equilibrium where type
[[theta].sub.i] adopts [[??].sub.i]'s strategy and vice versa. In
that equilibrium, the buyer's true expected utility is given by
[f.sub.i]([[theta].sub.i])[[??].sub.i](v(Q, t) - [phi](Q)) +
[[??].sub.i] + [x.sub.i](v([??], t) - [phi]([??])) + [s.sub.i]].
Clearly, the buyer is not indifferent between these two equilibria
unless [x.sub.i] = [[??].sub.i] or v(Q, t) = [phi](Q). The next result
ensures that suppliers with the same pseudotypes receive the same
equilibrium outcome function ([x.sub.i], [s.sub.i]). This rules out the
situation described in the previous example.
Consider any equilibrium ([[epsilon].sub.i], ...,
[[epsilon].sub.N]). Define [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN
ASCII]. Similarly, define [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN
ASCII], ([p.sup.*.sub.-i], [Q.sup.*.sub.-i]))] . Let [[s.bar].sub.i](k),
[[bar.s].sub.i](k) be the resulting scores to fulfill. In words,
[[bar.x].sub.i](k) is the lowest expected probability of winning the
contract among all the bids in the support of bidder i's strategy
when he has pseudotype k. Similarly, [[bar.x].sub.i](k) is his highest
expected probability of winning.
Lemma 2. In any equilibrium, [[x.bar].sub.i](k) =
[[bar.x].sub.i](k) and (k) = [[s.bar].sub.i] (k) for all k except
possibly on a set of measure zero.
Proof. Define [U.sub.i](k) as supplier i's equilibrium
expected payoff when he has pseudotype k. Incentive compatibility (IC)
implies that (10,11)
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII].
Hence [[x.bar].sub.i] (k) is monotonically increasing in k. The
same argument applies to [[bar.x].sub.i] (k). Hence [[x.bar].sub.i](k)
and [[bar.x].sub.i](k) are almost everywhere continuous. A similar
argument based on the IC constraint establishes that [[x.bar].sub.i](k)
[greater than or equal to] ([??]) for all [??] < k. Together with the
a.e. continuity of these functions, this implies that [[x.bar].sub.i](k)
= [[bar.x].sub.i] (k) (and [[s.bar].sub.i] (k) = [[s.bar].sub.i] (k))
almost everywhere. Q.E.D.
Define two equilibria as typewise outcome equivalent if they
generate the same distribution of outcomes ([x.sub.1], ..., [x.sub.N])
and ([s.sub.1], ..., [s.sub.N]), conditional on types in [[THETA].sub.1]
x ... x [[THETA].sub.N] . We are now able to prove the main result of
this section.
Theorem 1. Every equilibrium in the scoring auction is typewise
outcome equivalent to an equilibrium in the scoring auction where
suppliers are constrained to bid only on the basis of their pseudotypes,
and vice versa.
Proof. All equilibria in the constrained auction are also
equilibria in the scoring auction because bidders' preferences and
beliefs are entirely determined by their pseudotypes. Lemma 2 implies
that all types with the same pseudotype get the same x and s a.e. in all
equilibria. Q.E.D.
COPYRIGHT 2008 Rand, Journal of
Economics Reproduced with permission of the copyright holder. Further reproduction or distribution is prohibited without permission.
Copyright 2008 Gale, Cengage Learning. All rights
reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.
NOTE: All illustrations and photos have been removed from this article.