1. Introduction
Assume that David Ricardo's life had extended beyond the age
of 51, that he became a professor of political economy in his later
years, and was invited to lecture on comparative advantage. (l) Against
all odds, he displays a remarkable intuition of future developments in
economic theory and is able to use the standard tools and graphical
techniques found in present-day economics textbooks. In his lecture,
Ricardo recalls the numerical example contained in his Principles of
Political Economy and Taxation (Ricardo 1951b, chapter 7) where cloth
and wine are traded between England and Portugal. He reminds his
audience that England's exports of cloth embody the labor of 100
men, whereas 120 men would be needed to produce its wine imports. The
corresponding numbers for Portugal are 80 for wine exports and 90 for
cloth imports. England's comparative advantage in cloth is
explicitly implied by the numbers 100 and 120 pertaining to its two
traded commodities, even before Ricardo mentions the corresponding
numbers for Portugal. Because the amounts of Portuguese labor associated
with the quantities of wine and cloth actually traded are lower than
those of English labor, Portugal has an absolute advantage in producing
both commodities. However, the fact that 801120 < 90/100 shows that
Portugal has a comparative advantage in wine and hence will exchange
wine for cloth when trade begins (Ruffin 2002, Maneschi 2004). (2)
This paper aims to present Ricardo's illustration of the gains
from trade in both algebraic and graphical form, using first a linear
then a nonlinear model of production. Section 2 shows how Ricardo makes
a gradual transition to a complete trade model by quantifying the gains
from trade as the amount of labor saved by trade in the case where the
two countries' transformation curves happen to be linear. In
section 3 he generalizes his illustration of the gains from trade by
using a concave transformation curve. In section 4 Ricardo proves that
the liberalization of trade in wheat raises England's profit rate
and reduces rental income, and shows these results diagrammatically.
This effect on profits (neglected by contemporary trade textbooks) is
the second main source of gains from trade. Section 5 concludes that the
resulting representation of the gains from trade does greater justice to
Ricardo's original trade model than that found in most textbooks.
2. The Linear Ricardian Model
After his painstaking elaboration of diminishing returns to labor
leading to the theory of rent in chapter 2 of his Principles, Ricardo
would have had little reason to argue that an economy's production
possibility frontier is a straight line, choosing instead a production
structure marked by diminishing returns to labor in agriculture that
lead to a concave transformation curve. However, in this lecture he
decides for pedagogical reasons to make a gradual transition to the
latter by starting, as a temporary working hypothesis, with the linear
"Ricardian" production model familiar to students of
present-day textbooks.
Consider the production possibility line BE in the left-hand
quadrant of Figure 1, where the horizontal axis measures the quantity of
cloth to the left of the origin O and the vertical axis that of wine. In
the right-hand quadrant, the horizontal axis measures the workforce in
the wine sector, [L.sub.w]. Given a constant labor coefficient in wine
production, the linear production function OQ shows wine output as a
function of [L.sub.w]. If OF measures England's labor force L, GF
(= OE) is its maximum output of wine. In response to the opportunity to
trade with Portugal at terms of trade given by the slope of CB, England
specializes in cloth production at B and consumes at C, trading BH units
of cloth for CH of wine. According to chapter 7 of Ricardo's
Principles, the labor required to produce the export of cloth BH is 100
men, whereas England would require the labor of 120 men to produce the
quantity CH of wine it imports. Ricardo argues that the gains of trade
are therefore 20 men, and wishes to represent these gains graphically.
He notes that points B and T are located on England's production
possibility frontier (or transformation curve), so that the output
bundles they represent utilize the same amount of labor. Hence, the
labor needed to produce BH cloth is the same as that needed to produce
TH wine, which can be read in the right quadrant as the amount OR
required to produce PR wine. The number of workers that England would
need to produce its wine imports CH, equal to QS in the right quadrant,
is OS. Hence, England's gains from trade GT in terms of the amount
of labor it saves by trading are (3)
[FIGURE 1 OMITTED]
GT= OS - OR = 120-100 = RS = 20 men.
If "real cost" is measured in terms of labor,
Ricardo's interpretation is consistent with what Jacob Viner called
the "eighteenth-century rule" for the gains from trade,
according to which "it pays to import commodities from abroad
whenever they can be obtained in exchange for exports at a smaller real
cost than their production at home would entail" (Viner 1937, p.
440).
Ricardo points out that there is an alternative and mathematically
identical way to measure the gains from trade that highlights their
nature: it is the excess of the amount of labor needed to produce the
consumption bundle C over England's labor force. He observes that
the net export vector (BH, - CH) is mathematically equal to the
difference between the production vector (OB, 0) and the consumption
vector (OH, CH). The production of CH units of wine would require OS
units of [L.sub.w], while OH (= AT) units of cloth required the labor RF
because they are equivalent in labor terms to EA wine. Hence, the excess
of the total labor required to produce the bundle C over England's
labor force is OS + RF - OF = FS + RF = RS, again equal to 20 men.
Comparative advantage is clearly identifiable in Figure 1. If X
(=BH) represents the amount of cloth exported and Y (= CH) that of wine
imported, the terms of trade given by the slope of BC are Y/X units of
wine per unit of cloth. Because England's unit labor coefficients
are 100/X for cloth and 120/Y for wine, the opportunity cost of cloth in
terms of wine, given by the slope of BE, is (100/X)/(120/Y) = (5/6)Y/X.
In Portugal the corresponding unit labor coefficients are 80/Y for wine
and 90/X for cloth, so that its opportunity cost of cloth in terms of
wine is (9/8) Y/X. In autarky these opportunity costs are equal to the
domestic price ratios. As in the textbook Ricardian trade model, these
opportunity costs lie on either side of the terms of trade Y/X, and show
that Portugal has a comparative advantage in wine while England has it
in cloth. However, contrary to the textbook model, these autarky price
ratios are expressed in terms of the amounts of commodities traded, X
and Y, and not as the ratios of exogenously given unit labor
coefficients. Moreover, in his lecture Ricardo derives them almost as an
afterthought after postulating a trade equilibrium at given (though
unspecified) terms of trade, rather than as the initial step to be taken
before considering the trade equilibrium. Robert Torrens and especially
John Stuart Mill were the economists who first analyzed the issue of the
determination of the terms of trade that Ricardo never addressed. (4)
3. The Ricardian Model in a Setting of Diminishing Returns to Labor
One of Ricardo's primary interests in writing his Principles
was to investigate the shares of national income accruing to the various
social classes and how these shares varied over time. As he observed in
the preface, "In different stages of society, the proportions of
the whole produce of the earth which will be allotted to each of these
classes, under the names of rent, profit, and wages, will be essentially
different... To determine the laws which regulate this distribution, is
the principal problem in Political Economy" (Ricardo 1951b, p. 5).
In his analysis of rent in chapter 2, Ricardo assumed diminishing
returns to labor in the corn sector at both the extensive and the
intensive margin (where the term "corn" in his day signified
any grain such as wheat, barley, or rye). In chapters 5 and 6 he
integrated the determinants of wages and profits with the analysis of
rent in chapter 2. Although the paragraphs on comparative advantage in
chapter 7 concerning cloth and wine traded by England and Portugal make
no explicit reference to land, the use of land is surely implicit in the
production of wine. Moreover, in a footnote that he added directly after
his comparative advantage example, Ricardo observed that "a country
possessing very considerable advantages in machinery and skill, and
which may therefore be enabled to manufacture commodities with much less
labour than her neighbours, may, in return for such commodities, import
a portion of the corn required for its consumption." This implies
that some of the corn consumed is produced domestically, so that
specialization in the export sector (contrary to the textbook model) is
incomplete. Similarly, when Ricardo considered the possibility of a
reversal of comparative advantage, he noted: "Suppose England to
discover a process for making wine, so that it should become her
interest rather to grow it than import it; she would naturally divert a
portion of her capital from the foreign trade to the home trade,"
rather than all her capital (1951b, pp. 136-7; emphasis added).
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