PEOPLE BEHAVE IN CONTRA-dictory ways during times of stress--like
during a recession. Too many managers in too many companies become
paralyzed by fear or indecision. Recessions are part of business cycles,
just like growth periods. Thus, managing during a recession is part of a
manager's job--perhaps the most important part.
But what should managers do differently? The answer is "a
lot," but not "everything." If as a manager, you have
managed through recessions before, you may remember what to do, assuming
you did the right things, if not, consider this short story:
A man was walking along the street and as he passed a construction
zone, he fell in a deep hole, one with walls so steep, he could not get
out. He yelled for help.
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The first passerby was a doctor, who asked if he was injured. After
answering that nothing was broken but he hurt all over, he saw a
prescription float into the hole and the doctor was gone.
The next passerby was a minister. The minister asked if the man was
all right, and when the answer was a reluctant yes, a prayer on a slip
of paper came floating into the hole.
The third passerby was the man's best friend--and the man in
the hole was jubilant--until his friend jumped into the hole with him.
The startled man asked his friend, "Why did you do that? Now
we're both in the hole." The friend answered, "Yes, but
I've been down here before and I know the way out!"
The man in the hole felt frightened because he hadn't been
through the experience before, and didn't know how to get out--fear
of the unknown was natural. If you haven't been through a weakening
economy before, you may think of yourself as the man in the hole.
The mere word "recession" triggers fear of the unknown.
How bad will it get? How long with it last? What should we do? If these
are your reactions, don't feel bad. These fears are normal when
facing unpleasant events of unknown severity and duration.
The biggest mistake you can make is to act too slowly, but
it's also important to act with carefully considered intent. The
second biggest mistake is denial: "This can't be happening; it
can't get any worse." Yes, it is, it can and it probably will.
The third biggest mistake is to become defensive and reactive. When that
happens, you will always be a step behind the competition--and a step
late in meeting your customers' needs.
The secret is not to concentrate on "survival." Instead,
concentrate on taking steps to dominate the competition. When the
recession ends and recovery comes, you'll be on top.
Coincidentally, those same steps are the right moves to survive the
recession, too.
Here are the seven most important steps to take when
"preparing to dominate" the competition:
1. 'ATTACK! By definition, a "recession" means
negative growth, but that doesn't mean there's NO business.
There's just less, and it takes more, better effort to capture it.
That's when "dominate" comes into play. If you read
further down this list, you will know to choose the right customers, and
push the right products. Get out there and get a larger share of the
remaining business. Attack; don't defend! Be proactive, not
reactive!
2. CUSTOMERS: Sort customers in descending order of your annual
revenues and profits--also consider their potential. Get closer to the
top customers and sell them more. Eliminate complexity added by
bottom-dwelling customers; they cost more to keep than they yield in
profits. There are some winners in the middle who need attention, and
losers who need to go--now! Firing customers is always hard, but when
the cost to serve them exceeds the profit they generate, money and time
that could be used on better customers is wasted.
3. PRODUCTS: Sort your products the same way, in descending order
of annual revenue and profit. First, consider the items at the top.
Where are they on the "product life cycle"? New and still
growing, or old and declining? Which have plateaued (neither growing nor
declining)? Those will decline next. Now is the time to
"rejuvenate" them or drop them. Reduce the complexity drain of
old, tired products--dump them--and make room for new ones.
4. EXPENSES: Quit spending! Cut all but truly essential expenses,
but don't cut spending on new products and marketing; those are
your future. Get rid of ALL the nice-but-not-necessary things--temps,
contract services, memberships, dues, subscriptions, high-priced travel,
conventions, parties, FedEx, premium flights, expensive limos, hotels,
and meals out--at the company's expense.
5. CASH FLOW: Watch cash flow like a hawk. Make a spreadsheet (you
should already have one) projecting cash flow 13+ weeks out, in detail.
Collect fast, pay slow; take only the big cash discounts. Use
checkbookstyle, open-to-spend processes, starting with how much you have
and then deducting items as you spend. Stop spending before cash runs
out.
6. HEADCOUNT: People are usually the largest cost (after purchased
materials) in a business. People don't just cost wages and
benefits; they spend money and consume resources. Carefully evaluate
your people. Sort them into four groups A--Great, these are the keepers,
and tell them so; B--Good, you want to keep them, and tell them, too;
C--Fair, questionable; D--Weak, under-performing or unnecessary, and you
should cut them now! Find the ones in the "Fair" group who can
grow into "Good," and work with them. Dump those who
can't grow, or won't grow, along with the "Weak"
ones.
NOTE: These groupings have nothing to do with organizational
rank--a "Great" customer service rep might be far more
valuable than a "Fair" senior executive. Weak or unnecessary
people in high paying positions should be cut first. Also, combine jobs
to remove highly paid positions--CFO, Treasurer and Controller can often
be combined into two jobs by reallocating work. Next, cut excess people
added in "good times."
7. LOWER THE BREAKEVEN: Classify expenses as "Fixed" or
"Variable." Variable costs (expenses) go into every product or
service. Fixed costs are determined by decisions about the
business' structure and size. In a weak economy, expect volume to
drop--this means you must cut fixed costs fast, and resize the business
to the market. Pricing must recover variable costs, and contribute to
covering fixed costs, S. G. & A (sales, general and administrative
costs), interest, and hopefully yield a profit. (Note: Using EBITDA as a
metric is dangerous; it excludes interest--a cash outlay.)
Getting through a recession is like getting in shape after gaining
weight. Exercise--make the right moves. Eat properly--"feast on
competitors"--by selling the best products, to the best customers.
And don't quit when the going gets hard. Running a business is
supposed to be hard; if it weren't, everybody would be doing it.
Now get out there and don't just survive, attack and dominate!
It's a lot more fun than the alternative.
About the Author: John L. Mariotti's new book "THE
COMPLEXITY CRISIS-Why Too Many Products, Markets & Customers Are
Crippling Your Company--And What To Do About It" is available at
www.amazon. com, www.800ceoread.com and most leading bookstores-
Mariotti, former President of Huffy Bicycles and Rubbermaid Office
Products Group, is President & CEO of The Enterprise Group, and
author of eight books business books and hundreds of articles and
columns. He serves on several corporate boards, advises companies and
does public speaking. He can be reached at www.mariotti.net.
RELATED ARTICLE: 7 STEPS WHEN PREPARING TO DOMINATE THE COMPETITION
1. 'ATTACK! Attack; don't defend! Be proactive, not
reactive
2. CUSTOMERS: Sort customers in descending order of your annual
revenues and profits
3. PRODUCTS: Sort your products the same way, in descending order
of annual revenue and profit.
4. EXPENSES: Quit spending!
5. CASH FLOW: Stop spending before cash runs out.
6. HEADCOUNT: Carefully evaluate your people.
7. LOWER THE BREAKEVEN: Classify expenses as "Fixed" or
"Variable."
COPYRIGHT 2008 Door and Hardware
Institute Reproduced with permission of the copyright holder. Further reproduction or distribution is prohibited without permission.
Copyright 2008 Gale, Cengage Learning. All rights
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NOTE: All illustrations and photos have been removed from this article.