The cost of being good.
by Anderson, Anne-Marie^Myers, David H.
Introduction
This paper examines the performance of U.S. equities through the
use of socially responsible investment screens. Socially responsible
investing (SRI) is reflected in the attitudes of the investor to apply
social goals to their investment portfolio. We extend the SRI literature
by examining a broader study of social screens in a more restrictive
context. The sample used in Sauer (1997), based on the Domini Social
Index, is "selected to minimize the potential negative side
effects." In contrast, our initial approach is to examine the costs
and benefits from the most extreme approach of socially responsible
investing--the exclusion of companies not meeting a social investment
screen. The exclusionary approach results in portfolios that maximize
the costs to socially responsible investing. We examine the returns and
risk-adjusted returns to investing in socially responsible investment
portfolios using 20 social screens from KLD Research & Analytics,
Inc. (KLD).
We extend the literature by uniquely examining the persistence in
performance of SRI screens, using both Jensen's alpha and
conditional alphas. Our results support the null hypothesis of no cost
to investing in a socially responsible manner, or reject the hypothesis
that SRI comes at a significant cost. Through either single or multiple
screens based on value or equally weighted portfolios, we find no
statistical significant difference among SRI screen funds. While the
differences in portfolio returns are statistically insignificant, the
equal-weighted "AL2SNX portfolio" of no exclusionary screened
firms and only firms with at least two strengths is the best performer
over the period from 1991-2004.
Literature Review
Previous literature has examined screens and socially responsible
investing in both equity and bonds. Angel and Rivoli (1997) find that
the reluctance of investors to invest in certain firms can lead to
increases in the firm's cost of equity; however, the percentage of
investors unwilling to invest has to be relatively large for the effect
to be significant. Feldman, Soyka, and Ameer (1997) analyze the impact
of the firm's environmental management system on stock prices, and
find that improvements result, primarily, from a decrease in risk.
Research in the area of investing has led to inconclusive results.
Kurtz (1997) finds that the universe of SRI stocks does not appear to
underperform the market, but there are costs to diversification and
information effects. Guerard (1997) finds that returns for a socially
screened universe do not differ from the unscreened universe, but using
multiple screens improves results. Statman (2000) finds that the Domini
Social Index outperforms the S & P 500, and that socially
responsible mutual funds do better than conventional funds, but the
results are not statistically significant. Finally, Derwall and Koedijk
(2005) find positive, but insignificant, differences between the
performance of SRI funds and conventional funds, and evidence of
time-variation in performance over business cycles.
Methodology
There are a number of ways to approach social investment screens.
It is evident from the mutual funds available that some combination or
variation of three approaches is taken--divest from or exclude firms
that are inconsistent with the investor's social goals; reduce or
underweight exposure to such firms; or take on active shareholder
initiatives to change the actions of a firm. In an asset pricing
context, we examine the first or most restrictive approach, which is to
test the impact of exclusions on investment portfolios. Exclusionary
screens imply that an investor is either fully in favor of or against a
particular social screen or issue. A firm must pass a particular screen
for an investor to include it in his or her portfolio. One way of
interpreting such an investment policy in an optimization framework is
that there is an infinite cost attached to the exclusionary belief. If
the cost were not infinite, then the SRI process would be more
reflective of an underweighting of a firm in the portfolio relative to a
benchmark.
Asset Pricing Model of SRI and Econometric Issues
In this initial analysis, a simple model of social investment is
sufficient. An investor is assumed to have an objective function that
maximizes a combination of wealth and social good. Investors may have
homogeneous beliefs for all firm returns and infinite costs on any one
social screen. Zero investment portfolios are equivalent in the model to
taking a long (short) position in the positively screened equal-weighted
portfolio, and taking a short (long) position in the negatively screened
equally-weighted portfolio.
The model is in line with the common assumption that adding a
non-wealth criterion to the investment decision comes at a cost to the
investor. This cost to socially responsible investing is also associated
with a constrained optimization of the investment set where the
constrained efficient frontier lies on the interior, or tangent to the
unconstrained frontier (see Exhibit 1). Testable hypotheses arise from
differences in returns and risk. If SRI constrained portfolios are
inefficient, then they should either have significantly lower returns
for the same level of risk, or higher risk for the same return level.
Performance Measures
Our performance measures are made relative to the Russell 3000 as a
broad market index. While the KLD data covers the Russell 3000, it only
does so after 2000. To get the longest time frame for analysis, the
portfolios created in this study are restricted to the S & P 500 for
which data are available back to 1991. Equal-weighted and value-weighted
portfolios are reconstituted annually based on inclusion in the S &
P 500 and the KLD data on screens. Returns are calculated on a monthly
basis and then employed in generating risk-adjusted performance measures
for the portfolios. Both a Jensen's alpha and a conditional alpha
are calculated for each portfolio. We also generate alphas based on the
three Fama-French factors.
The dynamic or conditional alpha is based on Christopherson et al.
(1998). Both the conditional and unconditional models are estimated
using 36 months of past returns. The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
and the Jensen's alpha fall out of equation (1) if the conditioning
information variables, Z, are zero:
[r.sub.pt+1] = [a.sub.0p] + [A'.sub.p][z.sub.t] + [b.sub.0
pb][r.sub.bt+1] + [B'.sub.pb][z.sub.t][r.sub.bt+1] + [u.sub.pt+1]
[^.[beta].sub.pb]([Z.sub.t]) = [^.b.sub.0 pb] +
[^.B'.sub.pb][z.sub.t]
[z.sub.t] = [Z.sub.t] - E(Z)
[^.[alpha]] = [^.a.sub.0p] + [^.A'.sub.p][z.sub.t]
Equation 1
--where [r.sub.p] is the return of the account portfolio in excess
of the risk-free rate. Z is a vector of the four demeaned 36-month
rolling lagged information variables: dividend yield, detrended bill
rate (subtracting the 12-month moving average), January dummy, and term
spread for the two conditional pricing models. Our null hypothesis is
that there is no difference in returns among socially responsible
screened portfolios. Another interpretation of the null is that there is
no cost to SRI. HO: SRI investors' utility functions include both
return and socially responsible behavior, E(Rn) [greater than or equal
to] E([R.sub.SRI]) This study examines the cost to a risk-return utility
function from the imposition of social screens.
Performance Persistence Methodology.
The final step in the analysis is to examine persistence or
predictability in performance. Persistence is measured by a
cross-sectional regression technique similar to one used by
Christopherson et al. (1998) for the past 36-month alphas on future
returns.
[r.sub.p(t,t+[tau])] = [[gamma].sub.0,t,[tau]] +
[[gamma].sub.1,t,[tau]][[alpha].sub.pt.sup.CAPM] + [u.sub.p(t,t+[tau])]
[r.sub.p(t,t+[tau])] = [[gamma].sub.0,t,[tau]] +
[[gamma].sub.1,t,[tau]][[alpha].sub.pt.sup.CCAPM] + [u.sub.p(t,t+[tau])]
[r.sub.p(t,t+[tau])] = [[gamma].sub.0,t,[tau]] +
[[gamma].sub.1,t,[tau]][[alpha].sub.pt.sup.FF] + [u.sub.p(t,t+[tau])]
Equation 2
For horizons, T = 1, 3, 6, 12, 18, 24, and 36 months. Alphas are
generated by a traditional CAPM, Conditional CAPM, and Fama-French (1989
and 1992) regressions.
The cross-sectional regression coefficients for each month are
averaged over time similar to Fama and MacBeth (1973). The
cross-sectional regression is a weighted-least squares (WLS) approach,
where the weights are the residuals from equation 1. The result is an
appraisal ratio, alpha divided by its standard error, based on Brown et
al. (1992) to compensate for survivorship bias due to differences in
volatility. If spurious persistence is created by differences in
volatility, Brown et al. find that the use of an appraisal ratio
compensates for the bias.
Data
There are several socially responsible data bases available. For
mutual funds and exchange-traded funds, the most common benchmark or
index is the Domini Social Index, which is a product of KLD Research
& Analytics, Inc. The acceptance of the KLD Indexes both within the
literature and industry led us to choose the KLD data on screening for
this study. The database that we employ from KLD classifies 112
subcategories or screening questions for the period 1991-2004. The 112
subcategories are summarized into 20 main categories of socially
responsible screens. Most of the category screens are represented in
positive and negative screens of strengths versus concerns.
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