Recession by depression.
by Rundles, Jeff
The news on the gasoline front is, of course, not good. I was in
Michigan recently and paid about $4.39 a gallon. Upon returning to
Colorado, I actually felt great that I could get it for $3.91. When you
feel good about spending nearly four bucks for gas, something is
horribly wrong.
A news report over the Fourth of July weekend featured a guy
attempting to sell a 1-year-old, $70,000 Cadillac SUV who received a
$31,000 offer--all so he could downsize to a more fuel efficient car.
You could drive a Toyota Prius for a hundred years and not make back
that $40k loss unless, of course, gas doubles in price again. Don't
laugh.
And then there's all the gas-card marketing offered by car
rental agencies and out-of-the-way vacation spots. A legal brothel in
Nevada is offering a $50 gas coupon--roughly the cost of a round trip
from, say, Vegas--for anyone willing to partake of the services,
starting at $300.
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I heard an explanation of this rather absurd behavior on National
Public Radio recently, and 1 think the economist featured was quite
correct. It's all an overreaction. Of all the things in our lives
we regularly purchase, gasoline is the one where the price and its
constant charge screams out from giant marquees on every main-drag
corner. And it's directly in front of our face as we stand there
and pump those precious dollars into our tanks.
The truth is that our home utility costs, especially in the hot
summer months with air conditioning and the depth of winter with
home-heating-fuel charges, have probably gone up higher and will cost us
more than gasoline in many areas of the country. But it comes in a
shocking monthly bill, not something we stare at for several minutes
with each fill-up.
The price of gasoline, and the pain it inflicts, is a nearly
constant bugaboo, and it seems that no one can avoid a conversation
about it several times each day.
There's the rub. The higher price is no fun, we all agree, but
the pain comes from the never-ending chatter. That, my friends,
isn't economic discomfort; it's psychological distress.
It's now the home-front PTSD--pumptraumatic stress disorder.
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Psychology often plays a pivotal role in creating and ending
crises. The first time in my life that we had a severe energy crisis,
1973, led directly to the now legendary success of both Honda and Toyota
in the U.S. We were so freaked out we bought Japanese cars which, by
1973 standards, is the equivalent of everyone today putting down the
Starbucks and lining up at McDonald's for a cup o'joe. It
didn't really help, but it gave some people the impression they
were making a positive contribution.
One year later, 1974, in the face of raging inflation nation-wide,
President Gerald Ford launched the WIN--Whip Inflation Now--program,
which had a few real and many imaginary inflation-fighting measures. But
it was designed more than anything to change the attitude of public
discourse. Five years after that, with the energy crisis and inflation
continuing, President Jimmy Carter said we had a "crisis of
confidence" in the future of the country. Once again, our real
problems were actually being caused by our imagined ones.
I'm not saying we don't have economic concerns. Gasoline
prices are at an all-time high even figuring in inflation adjustments,
housing sales are down historically, unemployment is on the rise and our
national deficit mounts.
But c'mon. It's not 1929, or at least it's not 1929
unless we keep talking ourselves deeper into a recession. Oddly enough,
I think psychologists would call this recession by depression, mixing
economic lingo with that of their profession, and ask that each and
every one of us come in for more sessions each week.
Since we can't shrink our way out of this mess, let's
take the next best route: Shut up! Enough about the price of gas. Deal
with it.
I feel better already, and soon everyone will.
Jeff Rundles is a former editor of ColoradoBiz and a regular
columnist. Read this and Rundles'blog, Executive Wheels, at
cobizmag.com or e-mail him at jrundles@cobizmag.com
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