If there was any doubt that the recent buying boom, which saw a
record number of hotels sold, is over, consider that the historic La
Valencia Hotel in tony La Jolla failed to find a buyer after going on
the block early this year.
Now it appears that the building boom that accompanied the buying
frenzy and brought such hotels as the 511-room Omni, the 420-room Hard
Rock and the soon-to-open 1,190-room Hilton Bayfront also is on the
wane.
While four new hotels opened in the first half of this year, none
has more than 250 rooms, and all went under construction before
financing dried up in the wake of the subprime lending meltdown, said
Alan Reay, an Irvine hotel broker.
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In the same year-ago period only one opened: the 99-room Holiday
Inn Otay Mesa, according to a midyear survey by Reay's Atlas
Hospitality Group.
Though there were six hotels under construction, the total number
of rooms --2,155--was a 29 percent decline from the first half of last
year and with the exception of the Hilton Bayfront, the others under
construction are small. Only one has 250 rooms.
But the new Hilton, adjacent to the San Diego Convention Center,
threatens to erode occupancy and room rates downtown, where more hotels
are clustered than anywhere else in the county, says Reay.
"Hotel people I've talked to in the downtown area say
they are in a decline in their numbers," he said. "And this is
before the Hilton opens up."
There are no reports available that show a breakout of how business
has fared in the county's lodging submarkets in July, the height of
the peak travel season.
But Tennessee-based Smith Travel Research reported that local inns
suffered a 6 percent decline in occupancy to 83.5 percent during a
28-day period ending Aug. 2.
Atlas Hospitality's midyear report shows there are 64
properties with 17,068 rooms--a 35 percent increase from the same period
in 2007--on the drawing boards. Typically, 10 percent or less are built.
Among the largest in the pipeline is a 650-room hotel proposed by
Miller Global Properties LLC of Denver that would carry the Nickelodeon
Resorts by Marriott flag at Liberty Station in Point Loma. Executives
with Miller Global could not be reached for comment.
A 1,900-room Marriott has been proposed for Ballpark Village on
property owned by JMI Realty, the real estate arm of San Diego Padres
owner John Moores. That hotel is also in the approval process, and
Marriott did not return a call seeking comment.
Doug Manchester, who owns the Manchester Grand Hyatt, the
city's largest con vention hotel, proposes three hotels with a
total of 1,280 rooms for the Navy Broadway Complex on North Harbor
Drive. Manchester did not return a phone call. Yet Reay said he doubts
whether the Broadway Complex hotels or the Nickelodeon at Liberty
Station would obtain financing.
"In today's market, their chances are slim to none,"
he said.
Currently, the San Diego Unified Port District is still in
negotiations with Gaylord Entertainment of Tennessee, which wants to
build a $1 billion complex that includes a hotel with up to 1,700
rooms--a proposal that has been on, off and back on the boards for the
last couple of years. But the fate of that property is also unknown.
Silver Lining
Reay predicted one upside to the slumping economy is a
"greater supply of affordable land as lenders off-load their
foreclosed inventory at huge discounts."
"This will make a lot of sites more appealing and affordable
to hotel developers, especially in urban markets where they were
competing with condo developers," he added.
Hotels that opened in the first six months of this year include the
250-room Sheraton Carlsbad Resort and Spa; 200-room Courtyard by
Marriott San Diego Airport/Liberty Station, 145-room Homewood Suites in
Carlsbad and the 80-room Hilton Garden Inn San Diego/Del Mar in San
Diego.
Aside from the new Hilton, hotels under construction include the
250-room Renaissance San Diego Gaslamp Quarter; 239-room Residence Inn
San Diego Gaslamp Quarter; 185-room Setai San Diego; 173-room Best
Western National City and the 108-room Hampton Inn & Suites Poway.
COPYRIGHT 2008 CBJ, L.P. Reproduced with permission of the copyright holder. Further reproduction or distribution is prohibited without permission.
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