Tens of millions of Americans tethered to our coasts may be caught
short as the Democratic National Convention opens in Denver two weeks
from now.
They've likely heard of the Denver Broncos, but what else is
out there in those empty spaces except ranches, sagebrush and high
mountains?
Well, brace yourself. This region of the ghost towns and legendary
lone cowboy is now registering America's fastest population
growth--and expects 11 million more people by 2040.
And indeed, the five states of the southern intermountain
West--Colorado, Arizona, Nevada, Utah and New Mexico--are prospering and
growing so quickly that they may soon be tagged the "New American
heartland" to reflect how their economies and presidential votes
(several are swing states) impact the entire country.
Already Denver, Salt Lake City, Las Vegas, Phoenix/Tucson and
Albuquerque are centers of regions expanding rapidly; forming highly
urbanized chains of development. The trend is so pronounced the regions
are called "megapolitan," or "Mountain Megas" in a
new report by Robert Lang and Mark Muro for the Brookings Institution.
Two Western governors I spoke with last week--Colorado's Bill
Ritter, a Democrat, and Utah's Jon Huntsman, a
Republican--didn't use the "megapolitan" word much.
Symbolically, it's a stretch in a region that still thinks of
itself as the domain of rugged individualists riding the range.
But from the communities stretched along Utah's Wasatch Range
to Arizona's Sun Corridor, there's a single overriding issue
for the new West, said Huntsman: "It's growth--how we focus on
quality growth, quality neighborhoods, and the kinds of communities to
leave as legacies to the next generation."
The barriers are huge: Overwhelmingly, the modern West has
developed with scattered-site, auto-dependent communities. It's
permitted walls around subdivisions and created many more acres of
parking than efficiently compact and walkable communities. But the light
rail boom now under way in the Denver, Salt Lake City and Phoenix-Tucson
regions marks a new opening--"'urban shock therapy for
suburban-dominated regions," Brookings suggests.
And there's a new energy agenda for a region that grew up on
extractive industries. Ritter can hardly contain his enthusiasm for a
''New Energy Economy" based on green values and
renewables. Colorado, he claims, has the nation's top R&D
sector in renewable energy, rooted in major universities and
laboratories. He points to plans of such firms as Vestas (a Danish
company) to build America's biggest wind turbine manufacturing
plant in Colorado--"great green jobs, the approach of myself and T.
Boone Pickens."
Huntsman hits a similar chord, asserting Utah has "the most
ambitious energy conservation goal--20 percent by 2015--of practically
any state in America."
But there's a range of issues, pinpointed by Brookings and
underscored by the governors, on which the fast-urbanizing West is
missing a critical partner: an engaged federal government that assists
and stimulates local innovations but doesn't try to micromanage.
A top example is transportation. There's only a two-lane
highway connecting Las Vegas and Phoenix. Freight mils need improvement.
And high-speed rail, based on European models, could link cities up to
300 or even 500 miles apart, deflecting traffic from overtaxed airports.
Federal planning and construction aid could be critical--along with
rules changes to even the playing field so that transit projects can
compete fairly with road building.
And Washington's help is needed to deal with
water--historically the West's most contentious issue. The Colorado
River, noted Huntsman, "is not getting larger" and the
interstate compact dividing its flow, ratified by the region's
states and Congress, "dates to 1922, the time of the Treaty of
Versailles."
The stakes, Huntsman insists, are momentous: The West is
"headed toward disastrous results in the absence of decisive
steps" to deal with water shortages triggered by population growth,
climate change and regional drought. Huntsman would start with dramatic
conservation and recycling efforts.
So how's Washington to help? Yes, with some. key funding, the
Brookings analysts suggest. But also as a partner in crafting creative,
collaborative regionwide water agreements. And Washington is best
positioned to sponsor basic science research, providing improved data
and models beyond the scope of any single state, bridging today's
spectrum of climate-water-energy challenges.
Finally, there's the issue of the immigrants--including tens
of thousands undocumented--flowing into these Western states (even in
predominantly white, predominantly Mormon Utah in recent years). Why no
national "political courage" to set clear rules, asks
Huntsman, citing the "travesty" of "people living in the
shadows of society, waking up fearful for themselves and their
families." And why, asks Ritter, is there no "serious border
enforcement" or a guest worker program for agricultural workers?
The irony is that after three decades of "devolution" of
power from Washington, after the West's transformation from rural
roots into a dominant "megapolitan" form, this boisterous,
self-confident region of America still needs a strong federal partner
after all.
Neal Peirce's e-mail address is nrp@citistates.com.
[c] 2008, The Washington Post Writers Group
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the National League of Cities or Nation "s Cities Weekly.
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