In reflecting upon the theme Global Cities in an Era of Change, the
first thought that struck me was that there is not really a lot new
here. After all, there have been, (relatively speaking at least)
"global cities" for thousands of years. And I suspect that
there may never have been an era in the history of mankind that would
not have been described by those living at the time as "an era of
change."
So although the specific characteristics ("the details")
that we see in our world today appear extraordinary in their complexity,
sophistication, and richness, it is much less clear whether or not there
is anything fundamentally different about our current world, society,
culture, etc.
This is not to say that fundamental changes do not occur. They do.
But those fundamental changes generally can only be seen in retrospect,
and usually with a fair amount of distance and perspective. Or put
another way, those who think that there is necessarily an inexorable
march towards the globalization of the world's economy should note
that the Euro does not mark the first time (or even the second time)
that Europe has tried a unified currency. And only time will tell if the
current effort is 1) the successful culmination of a long-term trend, 2)
an unsuccessful experiment during a brief period of pan-Europeanism, or
3) something in between.
So against that backdrop, I offer up the following four thoughts
with respect to how the current trend towards globalization and
urbanization/suburbanization will impact the practice of real estate
counseling:
* Successfully cultivating and nurturing relationships will
continue to be the single most important element of a counseling
practice. This has been true for a long time, and is likely to be true
no matter how far technology, or globalization, or any other trend
changes the "details" of our world and society.
* Integrity and reputation will become increasingly important. Of
course, integrity and reputation have always been important in a
counseling practice. However, accessing information about people has
heretofore been a rather haphazard affair. But in a world where people
can easily send out an e-mail to hundreds of people that they know
personally asking "I am thinking of doing a deal with Mr. or Mrs.
X, do you know them?" counselors are likely to find that their
history, as embodied in the corpus of their work and their reputation,
becomes increasingly important.
* There will continue to be a squeeze on mid-sized firms. Large
firms will be able to achieve some scale in order to accommodate large
projects. And small firms will remain nimble and flexible as conditions
change. But mid-sized firms will find themselves in the worst of both
worlds.
* Continued improvements in technology will allow for small firms
to partner on a project basis or a product-line basis. The market
acceptance of this type of ad hoc counseling partnership will continue
to increase, with the key factor being the ability to successfully
convey the message to the client that the people involved can (and have)
successfully worked) together.
Roy Schneiderman, CRE, is principal and founder of Bard Consulting
in San Francisco.
COPYRIGHT 2002 The Counselors of Real
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Copyright 2002, Gale Group. All rights
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