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New Zealand confidence index steady.


by MEDIA CONTACT RESOURCES, INC.
Market Asia Pacific • Dec 1, 2006 •

New Zealand consumers are beginning to feel more confidence again as shown by one of the region's consumer confidence indexes. The Roy Morgan International market research firm (Melbourne) has been conducting confidence surveys in New Zealand every two weeks since October 2005. The Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating index was published monthly before that time.

In what the firm calls its December 2006 mid-month survey, the index was down 0.4 percent from the early December 2006 index of 128.2 to 127.8. Morgan's analysis termed the results "steady." Over the three year period between January 2004 and December 2006 the Morgan index reached a high of 140.9 in January 2005 and a low of 104.8 in May 2006.

In a release posted on the Morgan website, the firm reported that its confidence rating was 10.1 percent above the 2006 average of 117.1. The December 2006 reading was slightly below the 2005 average of 128.0.

The confidence index has been gaining since hitting its three year low in May 2006. One of the firm's principals said there was a reason for the index holding steady as the holiday season in New Zealand peaks. "A key factor in this period's high rating is data released by the Automobile Association that showed petrol and diesel prices were at their lowest in November since late December 2005, with 91 octane petrol retailing for $1.39 per liter [us$0.96] throughout most of the month, and diesel selling for 99 cents per liter [us$0.93] in the main centres."

In other findings, the Morgan survey revealed that 41 percent of respondents said that their families were better off now financially than they were during the same period in 2005. This finding was unchanged from the previous survey two weeks previously. And 26 percent of respondents said that their families were worse off than they were in 2005. This result was up 1 percent from the previous survey.

Also, 51 percent of New Zealand consumers responding to the survey said they were expecting even better times in the 12 months ahead. Some 23 percent said that times 12 months ahead were likely to be worse. Both results were unchanged

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