Past success and failure shapes the future decisions of an
organization. Recent research shows that experience with previous
strategic alliances is an important determinant for new alliances.
However, the benefits of past experience depreciate rapidly, and the
total number of long-dated experiences does not appear to be a major
source of success in dynamic industries. The authors extend
Sampson's work to the semiconductor industry to determine the
effect of experience on these firms. This article offers an interesting
extension to previous studies on experience effects and shows that
experience does matter in amount and recency.
Keywords: alliance; experience; innovation; R&D
**********
Firms can learn from experience. New processes are improved
continuously as the organization learns new and better ways to deliver a
product or service to its clients. Past success and failure shapes the
future decisions of an organization (Levitt & March, 1988), thus,
the greater the experience of the firm, the more likely it is to adapt
to new conditions. The learning curve literature has shown that a firm
can achieve important gains in productive efficiency as its cumulative
output increases and that this can imply an important competitive
advantage (Lieberman, 1987). Extending this line of thought to other
organizational areas, recent research has shown that experience with
previous strategic alliances is an important determinant for new
alliances (Sampson, 2005). However, the benefits of past experience
depreciate rapidly over time, and the total number of long-dated
experiences does not appear to be a major source of success in dynamic
industries. In a recent article, Sampson (2005) looked at past R&D
alliances as primary determinants of future alliances success, and even
though she found support for this hypothesis, she also reported,
"Further work is necessary to link experience, differences in
alliance management practices between firms and performance" (p.
1028), and the reasons for the rapid depreciation of this experience are
still unclear.
The primary purpose of this article is to extend Sampson's
(2005) study. First, we replicate this study to contribute to the
validation of research conducted on the learning effects of past
alliances (Anand & Tarun, 2000). Second, we will also extend these
findings by looking at a different industry, namely, semiconductors. By
analyzing a different environment in a different period of time, a
stronger case can be built for generalizing Sampson's results.
The primary research questions that this study tries to answer are
"How can firms capitalize on past experience with strategic
alliances?" and "Why are only recent experiences, when
compared to experiences that occurred long ago, the most important
determinants of future success?" Answering these questions has
important implications from both a researcher's and a
practitioner's perspective. Corporate strategy research can benefit
from new insights provided by research on organizational learning,
particularly by enhancing the ability to learn from past alliances
(e.g., by selecting few relevant issues to which devote attention). This
is a process with interesting questions but blurred answers.
On the other hand, from a practitioner's perspective, if only
recent experiences are more important when subscribing to new alliances,
managers can disregard distant history and look more carefully to the
recent past. Furthermore, by understanding the specific reason for the
depreciation of past experiences, managers can choose among competing
governance structures, or they can even select the number of new
alliances that are advisable given the organization's history.
Sampson's (2005) results are expected to be validated with
this study. The underlying theory and her results support the hypotheses
presented; however, the present study can contribute to the
generalizability of these findings. Our study looks at a different
industry and at a different period of time. (1)
Learning From Experience
There is a fair amount of literature that discusses learning by
doing and the experience curve. This learning process has been mainly
studied in manufacturing settings, and the variable of interest has been
production cost. As a firm's cumulative output increases, it learns
how productive processes impact the cost of final output, and this
experience allows for the development of new and improved processes.
Thus, a firm's history of past success and failure will shape its
ability to learn (Levitt & March, 1988). Consequently, a firm that
has been exposed to more experiences will probably be better prepared to
face new challenges in a more effective way, for example, by exploiting
scale economies for repetitive processes.
Levitt and March's (1988) arguments for cost reductions due to
cumulative output and experience are widely accepted, and there are
enough subsequent research findings that support their views. For
instance, Lieberman (1984) studied the learning curve in the chemical
industry and found that cost reductions cannot be attributed exclusively
to time. This conclusion provides supporting evidence of the importance
of experience effects, as is also the case with similar studies in the
shipbuilding industry (Argote, Beckman, & Epple, 1990). In summary,
there is sufficient evidence to support the benefits of experience in
the manufacturing environment. However, there is also compelling
evidence showing the impact of experience effects on other industries.
Service industries have been studied by Darr, Argote, and Epple (1995);
Dutton and Thomas (1984); and Dutton, Thomas, and Butler (1984), and
their research constitutes irrefutable evidence that experience is major
determinant of cost reductions in different environments.
Experience has been also tied to success in innovation and new
product development because firms that have developed an extensive
knowledge base from their technological and market-related experiences
are more likely to succeed in new product introductions (Barnett &
Hansen, 1996; Nerkar & Roberts, 2004). These studies however do not
explicitly address recurrent managerial processes through which a firm
gains experience. These processes usually involve complex managerial
practices, and the experience a firm gains over time might not only be
associated with the number of successfully introduced new products but
also with how a firm handles the learning from experience process
itself.
Thus, experience effects need to be extended to more general
activities such as management in organizations. Managers observe the
outcomes of their decisions in activities such as development of new
divisions, changing product lines, and research and development of new
products or processes (Sampson, 2005). Furthermore, Baum and Ingram
(1988) showed in their analysis of the hotel industry that experience is
an important factor when it comes to anticipating consumer preferences
in a dynamic environment. In a similar fashion, other studies have
analyzed managerial practices and learning in acquisitions (Haspeslagh
& Jemison, 1991), cross-border entry (Chang, 1995), and alliances
(Harbison & Pekar, 1998). Even though these studies do not
explicitly address experience effects, the findings are suggestive of
this phenomenon.
R&D Alliances
Alliances are recurrent activities that organizations undertake and
they are particularly difficult to manage because of the very nature of
this managerial practice. It involves two parties with very different
characteristics, cultures, and goals trying to coordinate activities
that are complicated even within a hierarchical structure. A firm that
is involved in an alliance must align its internal processes and
routines with those of a partner that may have a completely different
approach to dealing with similar issues. Other complications arise, for
example, in the communication and coordination when one firm has
difficulties observing the partner's activity. If this is added to
conflicting interests, potential problems are evident between the
allies.
Previous research suggests that many allies report low levels of
satisfaction with the alliance. As much as 40% of incumbents expressed
their dissatisfaction with the collaboration (Bleeke & Ernst, 1993).
Moreover, another body of literature provides evidence of the
difficulties in managing alliances. In this line, empirical studies
report a significant termination rate among joint ventures where
precarious governance structures were the origin of the early
termination (Harrigan, 1985). We do not have enough evidence for these
two affecting issues about alliances, but it has been suggested that
inherent activities in managing the alliance have at least some
responsibility. Thus, learning from past experience can provide an
organization with significant insight on how to conduct new alliances.
If a firm has engaged in many different alliances, the experience
drawn from the processes that led to successful collaboration should
provide a foundation for facing a new alliance. Similarly, a firm that
has experienced failures in the past will try to avoid those activities
that were at least in part responsible for the negative outcomes. For
instance, the selection of the appropriate governance structure or
contractual relationship, which has been linked to performance, can be
improved by experience.
Moreover, the greater the repertoire in terms of experiences from
which a firm can draw to make decisions, the more accurate the judgment
of an environment characterized by high levels of uncertainty. Alliances
are managerial practices that usually involve judgmental and
idiosyncratic calls, where previous processes will shape many of the
future decisions, particularly when a firm is stepping into new
territories. Generally, managerial experience has the greatest potential
to affect performance in situations that are characterized by greater
complexity and/or where outcomes are highly idiosyncratic or uncertain
(Sampson, 2005). Thus, greater complexity calls for greater managerial
attention and skills. For instance, a firm may find it difficult to
assess the benefits of an alliance if these are directly unobservable
(improved R&D processes) and parties' contributions have not
been agreed on in advance. This is the perfect environment for
experience effect becoming an important source of competitive advantage.
The preceding discussion suggests that the greater a firm's
experience, the larger its dynamic capabilities are in alliance
management. However, there are also many arguments that limit the
potential benefit a firm can obtain by learning from experience.
Learning can potentially lead to the adoption of specific processes more
frequently. These processes in turn will be seen as more reliable, and
this perception can hinder a firm from exploring new alternatives or
from adopting potentially beneficial new processes. This has been
labeled as organizational inertia (Hannan& Freeman, 1984), which may
reduce collaborative effects and thus transform the potential benefits
of learning into a core rigidity (Leonard-Barton, 1992). Therefore,
learning and imitation of prior experiences may inhibit experimentation
that could, in turn, improve collaborative benefits (March, 1991).
More recently, empirical evidence finds that the benefit of
learning from past experience will decay over time; namely, more dated
experiences will contribute little to overcoming new challenges. In the
selected setting, R&D alliances, this poses a significant threat
because organizations can forfeit exploring new alliance-related
practices and stay with those that have provided relative success. Thus,
it is expected that the hypothesized relationship will show a decreasing
marginal returns to alliance experience.
Hypothesis 1: There are decreasing marginal returns to prior
alliance experience. Firm collaborative benefits initially increase with
the firm's prior alliance experience, but this rate of increase
diminishes at higher levels of experience.
Empirical Analysis
Empirical Design
The empirical test looks at the relationship between prior alliance
experience and alliance outcomes. The dependent variable is firm
innovation, measured after the announcement of the alliance, as a
function of past experience with R&D collaborations. As discussed in
the previous section, we expect to find supporting evidence of this
relationship after relevant control variables have been accounted for.
Firm innovation is selected as the left-hand variable because R&D
alliances are the primary focus of this study and innovation is more
closely linked to R&D than financial performance measures.
Collaborative activities are usually a central point in any R&D
strategy, and benefits of this practice will primarily impact the
firm's innovativeness. Thus, innovation is probably the most
meaningful measure of R&D alliance successes. This is of course an
indirect measure of alliance effectiveness, but we can rely on
firms' innovativeness, operationalized here as postalliance
patenting activity as a close proxy.
It is empirically difficult to capture the contribution of past
alliances to the overall performance, but it can be accomplished,
provided strong control variables that will capture the rest of the
variability in the model are included.
Data and Method
The data set used to test the hypothesis was constructed with
information about patents and alliances in the semiconductor industry.
(2) This industry was selected because of its dynamic characteristics
and the fact that many firms in this industry rely on alliances to
overcome high R&D costs and to face a changing environment.
Alliances in this industry are also important because they serve as a
mechanism for gaining access to new capabilities and speeding up new
technology adoptions. On the other hand, this industry has significant
patenting activity associated with R&D collaborations, and patents
have been related to firm performance (Macher, 2004). In this industry,
patents are closely related to the ability of firm to appropriate the
returns of innovation.
The source of alliance data is the Securities Database Corporation
(SDC) Database on Joint Ventures and Alliances. This is a comprehensive
database that contains information on all kind of alliances since 1988
and is compiled from publicly available sources, including SEC filings,
industry and trade journals, and news reports. Clearly this database
offers the desired characteristics for conducting empirical studies on
alliances, (3) and it has been extensively used for similar and
unrelated research studies (Anand & Khanna, 2000; Sampson, 2004).
The sample for this study contains R&D alliances for firms in
the semiconductor industry for the years 1997 and 1998. This period of
time is appropriate given the important number of alliances in these 2
years and because it is possible to track firms' patents after the
alliance was announced. Each record in this data set corresponds to an
R&D alliance exclusively or in addition to marketing, production,
and/or supply activities and funding activities. The final sample
includes 86 R&D alliances involving 137 firms. Some characteristics
of this sample are presented in Table 1.
International alliances are the number of alliances where the
involved parties' headquarters are in different nations. Clearly,
the majority of alliances involve one (or more) American firms.
For each firm mentioned in the previous sample, information about
its patenting activity was collected directly from the U.S. Patent and
Trademark Office (USPTO) Web site. (4) This governmental portal contains
all the information about patents issued in the United States for the
last 215 years and more. Detailed information is only available however
since 1976, and it includes assignee name, patent technological
classification, inventor name, issue date, and announcement date. Patent
information was collected for every firm involved in an alliance as well
as the other firms in its corporate structure because patents are often
assigned to the ultimate parent firm and not the single subsidiary where
the innovation took place. Sampson (2004) found that 73% of patents are
assigned to the ultimate parent firm; thus, corporate-level patents were
considered to avoid noisy measures of firm innovation. For each firm in
the alliance data set, the relevant affiliations were obtained from the
Directory of Corporate Affiliations. (5) The patent portfolio therefore
includes patents assigned to firms in the alliance sample as well as
parent firms.
Measures
Dependent Variable
Firm innovative performance (PATENT) is measured via
citation-weighted, firm patenting in a 4-year, postalliance window. For
example, if an alliance commences in 1997, PATENT is the sum of the
citation-weighted patents applied for between 1998 and 2001, inclusive.
This I-year lag is consistent with Hausman, Hall, and Griliches (1984),
who showed that there is an almost contemporaneous relationship between
alliance commencement and patent assignation.
Each time a new patent is assigned by the USPTO, the record of that
patent includes information about the patents on which it was based.
Thus, the number of citation-weighted patents after the alliance has
been formalized provides us with a better indicator of R&D alliances
outcomes than R&D spending, for example. Even though this is an
approximation, patents are closely related to new product development
(Comanor & Scherer, 1969), literature-based invention counts
(Basberg, 1982), and nonpatentable innovations (Patel & Pavitt,
1997). Furthermore, because each patent cites previous patented
inventions, this lineage can be used to determine the relative
importance of the original patent, namely, the patents produced as a
result of an alliance can be weighted to capture its relative
importance. Empirical evidence shows a strong correlation between the ex
post citations of the patent and the estimated value of the underlying
invention (Trajtenberg, 1990). As such, citation weighting provides a
less noisy measure of innovation than simple patent counts (Griliches,
1990). As Sampson (2005) suggested, we use the application date because
this date is the earliest point at which we can identify new firm
technology.
Independent Variable
Previous alliance experience (EXPERIENCE) is the focal independent
variable and is measured as the number of alliances that a firm has been
part of from 1990 up to but not including the year of the focal
alliance. No restriction on the type of alliance was imposed on this
data, and alliances for this time period include marketing,
manufacturing, supply, or funding alliances. Any kind of alliance was
selected here because firms learn to manage the coordination
difficulties inherent in R&D alliances with any type of prior
alliance experience rather than just prior R&D alliance experience.
As noted by Sampson (2005),
With any type of alliance, firms learn how to coordinate
across organizational boundaries, select appropriate
contract structures, evaluate performance and
manage differences in corporate cultures. Coordination
across firm boundaries is always challenging and,
therefore, skills gained in improving this coordination
likely are gained from any type of alliance. (p. 1012)
This concern was, in any case, tested by considering only previous
R&D alliances. Results do not exhibit any significant differences.
Given the nonlinear relationship of EXPERIENCE and the independent
variable, the natural log is used as the independent variable.
Control Variables
There might be other factors influencing the patenting activity of
a firm other than alliance managerial competence. For instance, it is
possible that firms with greater experience are actually more capable
firms in R&D. To control for several factors that might be
influencing the results, several variables are included here. These
variables will allow us to isolate other effects on the independent
variable, thus allowing us to capture the hypothesized relationship.
Control variables selected here are basically the same as those used by
Sampson (2005), but they include some differences that are noted when
appropriate.
Prealliance firm and partner patents (FIRM PATENT and PARTNER
PATENT). These variables allow us to rule out other factors that may
influence firm innovation. Particularly, the number of (firm's and
partner's) prealliance patents has been used to capture independent
technological capabilities (Patel & Pavitt, 1997), technological
acquisitions, R&D spending, and a firm's propensity to patent
(Trajtenberg, 1990). Thus, the inclusion of prealliance patents will
allow us to control for firm individual R&D and technological
efforts. This of course means that both firms' prealliance patent
must be accounted for. Hence, two variables, FIRM PATENT and PARTNER
PATENT, are included. Prealliance patent count was obtained from USPTO
Web site for a 4-year period (1993 to 1996). These variables are not
weighted because Trajtenberg (1990) found that "unweighted patent
counts are more highly correlated with R&D spending and other
R&D inputs than citation-weighted patent counts and, as such, are
better measures of R&D inputs." For these variables once again,
the total patenting activity of the focal and the parent firm were
considered.
Alliance scope (SCOPE). This variable is intended to capture the
breadth of R&D collaborative projects. R&D alliances have a wide
range of purposes; they can have a very specific and narrow objective
(e.g., a very specific software or application) or be broader and more
general (e.g., to develop next-generation semiconductors). Thus, an
alliance will exhibit different characteristics based on the breadth of
the agreement. With this in mind, three dummy variables are selected
using information in the SDC database. We look at the alliance
description field in this database and assigned each alliance to one of
three categories as described in Table 2. Because alliances with
intermediate breadth are the most common, we omit SCOPE (Intermediate)
from the empirical analyses.
Multilateral alliances (MULTILATERAL). This is also a dummy
variable that discriminates alliances between two (bilateral) and
alliances between three or more partners. Multilateral alliances might
be an indication of larger objectives, and we expect them to be
associated with greater returns. Thus, this possible effect is
controlled, too. The number of total multilateral alliances for the
sample period is 7, as represented in Table 1.
International alliances (INTERNATIONAL). When firms from different
nations engage in an R&D alliance, there are some difficulties that
they have to overcome (e.g., coordination efforts, cultural differences,
etc.). These difficulties have an important impact on the alliance
effectiveness, and they are here accounted for by the dummy variable
INTERNATIONAL that equals 1 if the firms are from different countries
and 0 otherwise.
Other concurrent alliance(s) (OTHER ALLIANCE). If a firm is
involved in one or more alliances other than the focal alliance, that
firm has to distribute its efforts to successfully coordinate activities
with more than one partner. We expect this to have a negative impact on
R&D collaboration. Once again, a dummy variable is constructed to
control for this possible effect. OTHER ALLIANCE is a dichotomous
variable that has a value equal to 1 if the firm is involved in one or
more other alliances for the sample period (1997 to 1998), 0 otherwise.
Diversity of technological capabilities (TECH DIVERSITY). One of
the main characteristics of collaborative projects is the fact that
partners learn new capabilities from the ally, and thus, collaborative
benefits increase as partners' capabilities differ because partners
with dissimilar capabilities have much more to learn from each other.
This must be controlled for to isolate the hypothesized relationship.
Following Jaffe (1986) and Sampson (2005), we construct a measure of
technological diversity based on the distribution of each firm's
patents across different USPTO classifications. For each patent of a
certain firm, we use the codifications contained in the class field in
the USPTO Web site. This allows for the creation of a multidimensional
vector of patents assigned to firms, [F.sup.s.sub.i] = ([F.sup.s.sub.i]
... [F.sup.s.sub.i]), where [F.sup.s.sub.i] represents the number of
patents assigned to firm i in class s. With this information a composite
index can be calculated as:
TECHDIVERSITY = 1 - ([F.sub.i][F.sub.j]')/[square root of
([F.sub.i][F.sub.i]')([F.sub.j][F.sub.j]')], i [not equal to]
j
A value of 1 indicates the highest diversity possible between
partners; 0 indicates high similarity.
It has been suggested that by using absorptive capacity, firms must
have some capabilities in common to benefit from newly acquired
knowledge. Thus, high technological diversity might actually hinder
collaborative efforts. Following this line of arguments, the square of
TECH DIVERSITY is used in the model.
Statistical Method
Because the dependent variable is a count of citation-weighted
patents, this is undoubtedly a nonnegative, integer value. These types
of variables also have high frequency of 0 and small integer values.
Therefore, to take these characteristics of the sample into
consideration, a negative binomial model is selected because 0 and small
values are "naturally incorporated into the model" (Hausman et
al., 1984).
The negative binomial is an extension of the Poisson model, but it
relaxes the assumption of the equality of mean and variance. Therefore,
it is a preferred method when Poisson estimation is inappropriate
because of overdispersion. Overdispersion is said to be present when the
variance is greater than the mean. This is the case in our study.
As such, the following model is used:
Pr[PATENT=p] = [e.sup.[lambda]][[lambda].sup.p]/p! (1)
where [lambda] is [e.sup.[beta]]X + z], [beta] is a vector of
independent variables, and X is a vector of parameters. (6)
This particular model has independent errors, and parameter
estimates do not require correction because maximum likelihood estimates
are unbiased and consistent even if the assumption of independence is
violated (Greene, 1993). Nevertheless, observation exhibits a lack of
independence because for each firm there is the possibility of multiple
observations if the firm participated in multiple alliances. This calls
for a correction of the standard errors. A technique by Huber (1967) has
been used in the past to correct for this lack of independence. This
technique involves the creation of "super observation"
calculated as the sum of the likelihood scores for each firm involved in
more than one alliance. This value is then used to calculate the
standard error.
Results
As reported in Table 1, 137 firms are included in the sample, 86
are involved in only one alliance, 7 are involved in two alliances, and
7 are involved in three or more alliances. Following Sampson (2005), we
created a separate observation for each alliance a firm is involved in,
leading to 182 observations. Table 3 shows descriptive statistics of the
variables.
The estimation of the general model is set out in Model 1 of Table
4. This is the original model, and it considers the logarithm of
alliance experience, EXPERIENCE (LOG), as the focal independent
variable. From this table we can see that the count of alliance
experience has a positive and significant relationship with firm
innovation (p < .01). Using the median values of the independent and
control variables, we evaluated the model E[PATENT] = [lambda] =
[e.sup.[beta]'X], and then we increased the number of prior
alliances in one, keeping the rest of the variables unaltered. This
exercise produced a change in the expected number of patents equal to
2.56; however, this value was not significant at the .05 level.
We also considered the possibility of a linear relation between
EXPERIENCE (COUNT) and PATENT, namely, a regression model was obtained
(Model 2) using the original alliance experience variable. Table 4 shows
again that the hypothesized relation is statistically significant at the
.01 level.
Table 4 shows the model (Model 3) that considers the dummy variable
EXPERIENCE > 0 as the independent variable. This variable has value 1
if the firm has prior experience, regardless of the exact number, and 0
otherwise. Once again, the relationship is significant at the .09 level,
showing that indeed prior alliance experience per se has a positive
impact on postalliance patenting activities. This is an important result
because firms without experience should expect lower returns (in terms
of innovation) than firms that have at least one alliance in their
history. Following a previously described method to predict the change
of patent output when prior experience goes from 0 to 1, a significant
result is obtained. The predicted number of patents (E[PATENT])
increases in 53 patents, a number that is substantial if we take into
account that the median value of PATENT is 82. This shows exact
correspondence with Sampson's (2005) results and reinforces the
notion that it is the existence rather than the amount of alliance
experience that determines whether a firm will benefit from past
alliance activity.
This of course calls for a more detailed analysis of the
relationship between experience effects and patent activity. To achieve
this objective, three dummy variables are used for a specific amount of
previous alliances: EXPERIENCE: 1-5 has value 1 if the firm has 1 to 5
prior alliances, inclusive; EXPERIENCE: 6-10 is 1 if the firm has
somewhere between 6 and 10 alliances; EXPERIENCE > 10 is 1 if the
firm has more than 10 prior experiences. The results of this model are
shown in Model 4. This model shows some interesting and unexpected
results; interesting because they are in opposition to Sampson'
(2005) results. For instance, where Sampson reported coefficients that
are significant at the .05 level, the fitted model for the semiconductor
industry shows that only firms with more than 10 prior alliances should
expect a larger patent activity. This result suggests that the extent
matters as much as the existence of alliance experience, at least for
the chosen industry. Clearly, this contradicts Hypothesis 1 because more
experience appears to be more important than the mere fact of having
some experience.
Now we turn our attention to the point in time when prior alliance
experiences took place. Here, the main concern is whether the recency of
past experience has a role to play in the studied relation. In other
words, we look at the possibility of recent experience's having a
larger impact on new alliance formation (Sampson, 2005). With this in
mind, the EXPERIENCE variable is decomposed into six variables,
including EXPERIENCE: 1 YEAR to EXPERIENCE: 6 YEARS, where the first
variable includes only the firm's alliances announced 1 year before
the focal period of time (1997 to 1998), the second represents the
number of alliances in the year 1995, and so on. The model is shown in
Table 5, and the results suggest that neither very recent nor old
alliance experience has much impact on the weighted number of patents.
Only two variables have significant coefficients, EXPERIENCE: 2 YEARS
and EXPERIENCE: 3 YEARS, thus indicating that only the number of prior
alliances conducted 2 and 3 years previous to the time period selected
for this study are significant at p < .05. EXPERIENCE: 4 YEARS and
EXPERIENCE: 5 YEARS have negative coefficients even though these are not
significant. Negative coefficients might indicate the presence of
multicollinearity, thus we conducted a test to determine if this was the
case in our sample. Indeed, a small multicollinearity problem is present
for EXPERIENCE: 4 YEARS and above. This could be verified by dividing
the sample in two groups and comparing the coefficients of each
regression. Even though the differences are not significant, tolerance
([VIF.sup.-1]) in one case was low (< .1). Therefore, as a check for
robustness, we grouped the experience in groups of 2-year periods and
verified that multicollinearity was no longer an issue. The results for
this regression are shown in Table 5, Model 6. In this case, instead of
the original six variables, we used three dummy variables, each one
accounting for 2 years (EXPERIENCE: YEARS 1 AND 2, EXPERIENCE: YEARS 3
AND 4, EXPERIENCE: YEARS 5 AND 6). The results in this case support the
original claim and verify that recent experience is not significantly
associated with higher innovative output, whereas experience that is a
couple of years old appears to have an impact on the dependent variable.
EXPERIENCE: YEARS 5 AND 6 does not show a statistically significant
coefficient.
This hints at a possible inverted-U shaped relationship between the
number of alliances at a specific point in time and the benefits a firm
can gain in terms of new alliance success. This confirms, as Sampson
(2005) predicted, that experience depreciates with time, but it does not
support the claim that the more recent the alliance experience the
better. Indeed, too recent an experience appears to have no effect on
patenting activity in this industry.
Conclusion and Discussion
It has been shown that firms can indeed reduce production costs by
means of experience, but it is still veiled if this premise applies to
management practices and if so, how. In particular, R&D alliances
are a managerial practice that research suggests is amenable to
experience effects. This article builds on existing research that
indicates that a firm's experience with alliances can increase its
probability of conducting new ventures successfully. In a very recent
study, Sampson (2005) looked at alliances conducted by firms in the
telecomm equipment industry, and she reported that the experience
effects, even when this refers to a single alliance, are significant and
substantive. This claim is confirmed here as expected, but the nature of
the relationship appears to be in contradiction to what was stated in
the aforementioned analysis. Namely, prior alliance experiences are
important only when these alliances took place 2 to 3 years prior to the
focal alliance. For the semiconductor industry, very recent R&D
alliance experiences seem to have no impact on the firm's
innovativeness, measured as its postalliance patenting activity.
As for the depreciation of experience, there are some explanations
that can be offered. First, there is the possibility of a rapid change
in managerial practices contributing to the loss of benefits to be
gained from lessons learned in the past. Technological industries such
as telecommunication equipment and semiconductors are particularly
susceptible to this kind of effect. An alternative explanation could be
found in the rate of managerial turnover. Managers departing after
conducting alliances might take with them the knowledge obtained in the
alliance formation process, thus forcing the organization to face a new
venture with little or no practical experience. The implications of
either explanation are clear for a firm that is looking for a way to
enhance its innovativeness through a collaborative project. These firms
need to ensure the assimilation of prior alliance experiences to benefit
from them. One way to do so is the creation of "alliance management
offices" within the organization. Of course, the existence of this
organizational function is still relatively new, and the real impact on
alliance management practices are still to be established as the next
step for the line of research proposed in this article. Moreover, and in
relation to the lack of impact of recent experience discussed in the
next section, these offices could not only reduce the pace of
depreciation of experience, but they might also contribute to reduce the
period of time for recent experience to be a contribution to new
ventures.
More elusive is the explanation for the lack of significance of the
most recent experience on patenting activity. One possible explanation
is again, the process of assimilation and diffusion of past experience
within the organization, namely, firms might need more time to
assimilate the lessons obtained from past experiences, particularly if
they are conducting several alliances at the same time. The
semiconductor industry shows a large number of alliances both before and
during the focal period that might help to explain the delayed impact of
alliance experiences when compared to Sampson's (2005) results. On
average, the firms in this sample have a mean experience of 10 previous
alliances and a median value of 11. Moreover, during the focal period of
time (1997 to 1998), 137 firms were involved in 182 alliances, thus
suggesting that a single firm initiated more than one alliance at the
same time. A firm conducting parallel alliances has to devote its
resources to more than one task, and this could be translated into a
larger period for the consolidation of the alliance. Naturally, this
conclusion calls for a more detailed analysis at the organizational
level to understand the processes that contribute and those that hinder
the organization from using more recent experience.
There are many limitations to this study. Besides the fact that the
sample size must be increased by looking at a longer time period, one
major limitation is that this study assumes that each prior alliance has
the same weight on the firm's ability to conduct new collaborative
ventures successfully. Given the large number of alliances in the
selected industry, this is of particular importance because a firm will
not deem each alliance as equally important, and consequently, it will
not deploy the same amount of resources. Second, this study focuses
exclusively on R&D alliances. Future research should focus on other
kinds of alliances, such as manufacturing and marketing alliances.
Despite the limitations, this article offers an interesting
extension to previous studies on experience effects and shows that prior
experience does matter, but only when it is relatively recent.
Generalizability concerns are clearly prominent, but when we consider
this study and Sampson's (2005) together, a stronger case can be
made in favor of experience effects and their depreciation over time.
Nevertheless, one remarkable difference, one that calls for further
research, is the fact that the recency of the experience might be
moderated by the type of industry. One possible way to answer this
question is to conduct a cross-sectional analysis that looks at
different industries simultaneously. Finally, an important managerial
implication is the evidence that suggests that firms might have
something to gain from the institutionalization of alliance management
offices.
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Notes
(1.) Sampson's (2005) study considered patents between 1988
and 1996.
(2.) SIC classification code 3674.
(3.) Securities Database Corporation database also contains
information on mergers and acquisitions.
(4.) Web site is http://www.uspto.gov
(5.) Web site is http://www.corporateaffiliations.com/
(6.) This model was estimated using STATA and the nbreg procedure.
Jaime C. Rubin de Celis is a PhD candidate at the University of
Pittsburgh. Prior to returning to the University of Pittsburgh he served
as a professor of project management and strategic management at Santa
Maria University at both the Santiago, Chile and Guayauuil, Ecuador
campuses.
John Lipinski is a PhD candidate at the University of Pittsburgh.
He currently serves as an assistant professor at Robert Morris
University in Moon Township, PA.
Jaime C. Rubin de Celis
University of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
John Lipinski
Robert Morris University, Moon Township, Pennsylvania
Table 1
Characteristic Values of the Sample
Number of alliances 86
International alliances 34 (40%)
Multilateral alliances 7 (9%)
Number of firms 137 (65% United States, 15% Japan,
9% Europe, 10% Central Asia)
Number of nations 18
Table 2
Alliance Scope Categories
Category Description
Narrow Alliances focused on development of new
products based closely on existing technology
Intermediate Alliances that do not fall into either of the other
categories
Broad Alliances that are intended to produce next-
generation products
Table 3
Descriptive Statistics
1 2 3
1. PATENT 1.000
2. EXPERIENCE (LOG) 0.308 *** 1.000
3. PATENT (FIRM) 0.966 *** 0.276 *** 1.000
4. PATENT (PARTNER) 0.134 ** 0.014 0.084
5. TECH DIVERSITY -0.086 -0.081 -0.055
6. TECH DIVERSITY2 -0.104 -0.085 -0.075
7. INTERNATIONAL 0.129 * 0.169 ** 0.150 **
8. MULTILATERAL 0.121 0.062 0.105
9. OTHER ALLIANCE 0.261 *** 0.103 0.254 ***
10. YEAR98 0.106 0.029 0.104
11. SCOPE NARROW -0.015 0.067 -0.012
12 SCOPE BROAD -0.012 -0.034 -0.018
Mean 1,683.63 9.92 1,331.98
Median 82.00 11.00 81.00
Minimum 0.00 0.00 0.00
Maximum 8,002.00 26.00 7,523.00
Standard deviation 2,496.82 7.34 2,029.87
4 5 6
1. PATENT
2. EXPERIENCE (LOG)
3. PATENT (FIRM)
4. PATENT (PARTNER) 1.000
5. TECH DIVERSITY 0.046 1.000
6. TECH DIVERSITY2 0.037 0.996 *** 1.000
7. INTERNATIONAL 0.084 0.080 0.072
8. MULTILATERAL -0.054 0.079 0.079
9. OTHER ALLIANCE 0.083 -0.210 *** -0.218 ***
10. YEAR98 0.090 -0.059 -0.060
11. SCOPE NARROW -0.024 0.079 0.071
12 SCOPE BROAD 0.164 ** 0.074 0.075
Mean 1,165.74 0.90 0.83
Median 42.50 0.95 0.91
Minimum 0.00 0.43 0.19
Maximum 11,367.00 1.00 1.00
Standard deviation 2,205.44 0.13 0.21
7 8 9
1. PATENT
2. EXPERIENCE (LOG)
3. PATENT (FIRM)
4. PATENT (PARTNER)
5. TECH DIVERSITY
6. TECH DIVERSITY2
7. INTERNATIONAL 1.000
8. MULTILATERAL -0.204 *** 1.000
9. OTHER ALLIANCE -0.069 -0.073 1.000
10. YEAR98 -0.052 0.072 -0.015
11. SCOPE NARROW 0.032 -0.031 -0.055
12 SCOPE BROAD -0.114 -0.014 0.117
Mean 0.38 0.13 0.86
Median 0.00 0.00 1.00
Minimum 0.00 0.00 0.00
Maximum 1.00 1.00 1.00
Standard deviation 0.49 0.34 0.35
10 11 12
1. PATENT
2. EXPERIENCE (LOG)
3. PATENT (FIRM)
4. PATENT (PARTNER)
5. TECH DIVERSITY
6. TECH DIVERSITY2
7. INTERNATIONAL
8. MULTILATERAL
9. OTHER ALLIANCE
10. YEAR98 1.000
11. SCOPE NARROW -0.004 1.000
12 SCOPE BROAD -0.115 -0.217 *** 1.000
Mean 0.29 0.29 0.14
Median 0.00 0.00 0.00
Minimum 0.00 0.00 0.00
Maximum 1.00 1.00 1.00
Standard deviation 0.46 0.45 0.35
Significant at * 10%, ** 5%, and *** 1% level for one-tailed tests.
Table 4
Previous Alliance Experience and Innovative Performance
1 2
INTERCEPT -3.967 -3.647
EXPERIENCE (LOG) 0.365 ***
EXPERIENCE (COUNT) 0.058 ***
EXPERIENCE > 0
EXPERIENCE = 1-5
EXPERIENCE = 6-10
EXPERIENCE > 10
PATENT (FIRM) 0.001 *** 0.001 ***
PATENT (PARTNER) 0.000 0.000
TECH DIVERSITY 25.381 *** 24.924 ***
TECH DIVERSITY2 -18.839 *** -18.630 ***
INTERNATIONAL 0.203 0.185
MULTILATERAL 0.741 ** 0.798 **
OTHER ALLIANCE 0.314 0.321
YEAR98 -0.012 -0.037
SCOPE NARROW 0.037 0.009
SCOPE BROAD 0.673 0.637
n 182 182
Wald chi-square 201.54 207.02
3 4
INTERCEPT -2.901 -3.649
EXPERIENCE (LOG)
EXPERIENCE (COUNT)
EXPERIENCE > 0 0.910 *
EXPERIENCE = 1-5 0.776
EXPERIENCE = 6-10 0.441
EXPERIENCE > 10 1.489 **
PATENT (FIRM) 0.001 *** 0.001 ***
PATENT (PARTNER) 0.000 0.000
TECH DIVERSITY 21.313 ** 23.099 ***
TECH DIVERSITY2 -17.050 ** -17.130 ***
INTERNATIONAL 0.247 0.189
MULTILATERAL 0.823 ** 0.670 **
OTHER ALLIANCE 0.514 0.220
YEAR98 -0.068 -0.039
SCOPE NARROW 0.202 0.084
SCOPE BROAD 0.681 0.583
n 182 182
Wald chi-square 174.43 178.34
Note: Negative binomial estimation. Dependent variable
is citation-weighted patents issued to each firm in a
postalliance period. Positive coefficients indicate
increased patent output.
Significant at * 10%, ** 5%, and *** 1% level for one-tailed tests.
Table 5
Previous Alliance Experience and
Innovative Performance
5 6
INTERCEPT -1.986 -1.635
EXPERIENCE: 1 YEAR 0.067
EXPERIENCE: 2 YEARS 0.162 **
EXPERIENCE: 3 YEARS 0.196 ***
EXPERIENCE: 4 YEARS -0.112
EXPERIENCE: 5 YEARS -0.011
EXPERIENCE: 6 YEARS 0.063
EXPERIENCE:
YEARS 1 AND 2 0.122
EXPERIENCE:
YEARS 3 AND 4 0.096 **
EXPERIENCE:
YEARS 5 AND 6 0.013
PATENT (FIRM) 0.001 *** 0.001 ***
PATENT (PARTNER) 0.000 0.000
TECH DIVERSITY 22.589 ** 22.086 **
TECH DIVERSITY2 -17.257 *** -17.421 ***
INTERNATIONAL 0.068 0.069
MULTILATERAL 0.805 ** 0.791
OTHER ALLIANCE 0.091 0.086
YEAR98 0.039 * 0.049 *
SCOPE NARROW -0.128 -0.118
SCOPE BROAD 0.592 0.799
n 182 182
Wald chi-square 221.22 221.54
Note: Negative binomial estimation. Dependent variable is
citation-weighted patents issued to each firm in a postalliance
period. Positive coefficients indicate increased patent output.
Significant at * 10%, ** 5%, and *** 1% level for one-tailed
tests.
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