A rocketing domestic economy in long-suffering Colombia is being
driven, banking experts say, by increased housing credit, higher tax
collection, and rising foreign investment. Sounds like good news for the
Andean star economy of late.
Yet growth is predictably driving inflation, too, say analysts at
Banco Santander, and that will likely force the Central Bank to tighten
access to money by more than it had once planned. The Spanish bank is
calling for inflation rates later in the year to reach the upper end of
the bank's comfort zone, perhaps ending as high as 4.5% compared to
the previous full year.
Yet the biggest culprit in the Colombian inflation spike is not
just from the ostensibly good things--more money for housing and more
investor interest from abroad but the simple cost of food. That cost,
the bank said, is being driven by the wet, stormy weather associated
with the El Nino weather pattern, which can drag on for months and
either flood or parch agriculture. Once volatile food costs are taken
out, inflation is bit more manageable. Nevertheless, Colombia's
money chiefs say that they will do what it takes to staunch the money
flow, ratcheting up rates if need be to abate Colombia's current
economic fever.
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