Nearly two years ago, when it dropped its bid for federal funding
of a 28-mile, $810 million commuter-train line, the Triangle Transit
Authority made it clear that the project had been sidetracked, not
derailed. Increased global demand for concrete and steel had jacked up
the cost, and changes in federal requirements made money harder to get.
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In February, regional rail crept back onto the main line of public
debate--bigger and pricier than ever. An advisory panel put together by
planning organizations representing Raleigh, Durham and Chapel Hill,
among others, recommended a 56-mile system as part of a transportation
package that would include a tripling of bus service and cost an
estimated $2 billion, says George Cianciolo, a Duke University
pathologist and co-chairman of the 29-member advisory panel. TTA
operates 68 buses between Raleigh, Durham and Chapel Hill.
A shortcoming of the old rail plan, according to the feds, was that
the proposed line between Durham and Raleigh, with a stop in Research
Triangle Park, wouldn't serve enough riders. "There was
nothing in between, so it wasn't a high-ridership corridor,"
Cianciolo says. Routes between Chapel Hill and Durham or Cary and north
Raleigh might be better candidates for phase one. "I'm not
predicting what's going to get built first, but it's probably
safe to say it's going to be a corridor that has high density and
high-ridership numbers."
Finding the money might be tough, though. One oft-mentioned source
would be a local sales tax. That faces some high hurdles--approval by
the General Assembly and three sets of county commissioners or, if
stated in the bill, voters in three counties.
Joe Bryan, a Republican who chairs the Wake County Board of
Commissioners, worries that the project might be too big, too costly and
too dependent on local money. It's not his top priority. "I
love education more than I do transportation. I'm held responsible
for education and not for transportation." He's impressed with
the light-rail line recently built in Charlotte and noticed the public
support given it by top business leaders. "If there is buy-in to
this plan, there need to be champions that say, 'We need this for
our business to stay here and to grow here, and we are demanding and
expecting that.'"
If community leaders decide that the region needs rail, Cianciolo
says, it's better to do it sooner rather than later.
"It's probably never going to get much cheaper to build
something like this."
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