Difficult choices lie ahead for the nation's
military services.
by Farrell, Lawrence P., Jr.
Much discussion--even hand wringing--is taking place among the
military, Congress and defense industry about where finite resources
need to be placed.
At issue is the current, expensive conflict in Iraq on the one hand
and on the other, equally demanding arenas, such as preparing for future
conflicts, that are getting shortchanged in the process.
Defense Secretary Robert Gates has touched on this subject in
various speeches recently, which is an indication of how much tension
still exists within the Pentagon about how to plan for the future
without neglecting current needs.
"Much of what we are talking about is a matter of balancing
risk: today's demands versus tomorrow's contingencies ... As
the world's remaining superpower, we have to be able to dissuade,
deter, and, if necessary, respond to challenges across the
spectrum," Gates said.
In a world of limited resources, the services surely will have to
make difficult decisions in the months and years ahead.
The military services perform three basic functions--organize,
train and equip forces for combat operations. Our military forces bring
technologically superior equipment to the battlefield and extremely
well-trained warriors. In peacetime, the services concentrate on
modernization and advancing the state of technology while constantly
improving training.
In wartime, the pendulum must swing over to winning the current
conflict. That means resources often have to be diverted from future
modernization to pay for operations, maintenance, and to replace
destroyed and damaged equipment.
The Defense Department is thus forced to do what military leaders
say they never want to do: plan to fight the last--in this case the
current--war.
The nation's political leadership and citizens want the
current conflict to be resolved as quickly as possible. If the services
accumulate a backlog of modernization and recapitalization needs, the
dilemma--win the current war or modernize for future conflicts--is
painfully sharpened.
That seems to be where the services find themselves now.
The Army came into the current conflict as it was defining the
requirements for its Future Combat Systems family of vehicles and
high-tech weapons. It now finds that much of those resources are being
pulled into the recapitalization of older war-tom equipment. The
Navy's ship recapitalization has fallen behind. Current ship
production rates won't get the Navy to its 313-ship goal unless it
is willing to continue to age its fleet--driving up maintenance dollars
and sacrificing operational availability.
The Air Force entered the current conflict with a huge backlog of
modernization needs--antiquated tankers, inadequate airlift assets, a
small and outdated bomber fleet, as well as aging fighters, transport
aircraft and special operations aviation platforms, to name just a few.
One statistic stands out. Thirty years ago, the average age of Air Force
airplanes was eight years. Today it is 25 years. And maintenance
requirements are on the increase.
Complicating this picture is the dysfunctional nature of the
current budget process and the services' dependence on huge
supplemental appropriations which, as we have seen in recent weeks, get
stalled on Capitol Hill by partisan gridlock.
The Defense Department is still waiting for Congress to approve a
$165 billion war supplemental for fiscal year 2008. The legislation has
been slowed by lawmakers who want to add billions of dollars in domestic
programs and funds for a GI Bill.
The Defense Department therefore finds itself, as of mid-June,
again with an overdue supplemental and the prospect of civilian layoffs
and payroll shortfalls. There is no way to place this situation in a
good light. To make the Army's July payroll, for example, the
Pentagon had to reprogram $4 billion from Air Force and Navy personnel
accounts to the Army. An additional $1.6 billion was reprogrammed for
"operations and maintenance" expenses. It is extremely
inefficient to be borrowing money from one service to finance another.
The transfer of funds creates disruptions in many programs, and these
programs almost never get fully reimbursed.
Military officials also worry that Congress will not be able to
pass the Pentagon's fiscal 2009 appropriations bill, which means
that the government would be funded by a continuing resolution. "A
continuing resolution is very restrictive in the things we can do,"
said Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Adm. Michael Mullen.
Most likely, after the current conflicts begin to wind down, there
will first be a rush on the supplemental budgets, then on the baseline
defense budgets.
We have to win the current war, but also can't afford to
ignore future modernization needs. This brings difficult choices surely,
but we must pay attention to both. And we can't do it on the cheap.
The nation and its political leadership have made the decision to
go to war. We can do no less than to fully support the needs of this
conflict in a timely manner. We owe that to the troops who are giving it
their all. But we cannot afford to ignore the future either, and the
concomitant demands of a different type of conflict.
This is doable. We have met the challenge in the past, and there is
no reason we can't do it again. At the height of the Cold War we
devoted 6-7 percent of GDP to defense. A 4-5 percent contribution is
modest by comparison. There is a responsibility and an obligation to
fully resource today's wars without "short-sheeting"
either the current or a future generation of troops.
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