More on signs of (in)sanity.
by Barnes, Peter
'Sign of insanity' seems to be an appropriate title for
the recent Leader (C&I 2008, 12, 4). As a long-time SCI member and
C&I reader I have been impressed by the improvement in the content
of C&I in recent times but it seems insane to throw it all away by
letting yourself be taken in by the so-called 'Global Warming
Petition' project.
I don't know where you got your initial information from but I
can only assume that you have not followed it up with your own research
before publication. Simply viewing the website of the OISM should sound
a warning signal. Reading the wording of the petition should worry you
further. Once you have done your research you will have a quite
different view of the petition.
As for the validity of the claims of Robinson and his colleagues, I
suggest you ask the excellent scientists at the UK's Met Office
Hadley Centre in Exeter (http:// www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/
hadleycentre/) to write you an article explaining why the bounce back
from the 'Little Ice Age' is not the reason for the present
global warming as Robinson suggests. This 'Little Ice Age'
idea does the rounds repeatedly and needs putting to rest once and for
all. C&I could do this job with the help of Hadley scientists.
Please don't be surprised at the claim that '31 000 US
scientists' have signed the petition. After all, C&I has been
taken in by the petition too! Not all scientists are climate experts.
And 31 000 is only 0.0014% of the total of US scientists and engineers,
ie about one in a thousand (http:// www.nsf.gov/statistics/infbrief/
nsf08305/).
Peter Barnes
PJ Barnes & Associates, Bridgwater, Somerset, UK
Editor's note:
Part of C&I's role is to stimulate debate on
science-related issues, and this particular Leader was written with that
very much in mind. Scarcely a day goes by without climate change and
global warming hitting the headlines, often with disparaging comments
about any non-believers. And as the Leader pointed out, no other issue
has resulted in such polarised views amongst C&I readers.
Rather than being synonyms for the same phenomenon, used by many
interchangeably, climate change and global warming are in fact two
distinct issues. Certainly there is evidence that climate change may be
occurring but the big debate is whether that change is due to global
warming, or, indeed, if global warming is actually caused by human
activities--and this is where many scientists appear to disagree. The
point of this particular Leader was to highlight that there is a not
inconsiderable number of educated people who are not convinced by or do
not believe the current theories on global warming, either in part or
their entirety--and not as some might assume to provide support for any
specific viewpoint.
Recent newspaper reporting demonstrates that in seeking the truth
there are many red herrings. The UK newspaper The Independent recently
reported that Arctic ice would disappear from the North Pole this year.
Indeed earlier this year, the US National Snow & Ice Data Center
reported that it was 'quite possible' that this might occur.
Satellite imaging, however, has shown that rather than less, there is in
fact more ice, a million extra square kilometres. Now the US center is
only predicting that the Arctic may be ice-free 'by 2030'.
[ILLUSTRATION OMITTED]
Also in a recent Sunday Times newspaper, it was reported that Royal
Navy logbooks from the 17th and 18th centuries are being studied for
long-term weather data. Research so far has shown similar warming
effects to those currently being experienced ocurred in the period
before the industrial revolution. One of the researchers, a
self-proclaimed supporter of global warming, also points out that
climate science is complex and that it is wrong to take particular
events and link them to C[O.sub.2] emissions.
As scientists we are taught to rigorously question theories and
conduct research and experiments to support or indeed disprove our
assumptions. History has shown that there are always dangers when
scientists become obsessed with their views to the exclusion of all
others.
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