Despite the fact that competing time-triggered communication
protocols are under development, efforts to introduce by-wire
technologies into motor vehicles will not be deterred, according to a
new study by Allied Business Intelligence Inc (ABI).
FlexRay and TTP (time-triggered protocol) are two competing
communication protocols designed to facilitate a new wave of advanced
automotive systems and are scheduled to make their way into production
vehicles in 2005/2006. While most automakers and automotive
semiconductor vendors have seemingly made their protocol choices, ABI
warns it's too early for either protocol to claim victory.
Automakers are extremely cost conscious and fickle, and much can happen
in coming months.
According to ABI analyst and report author, Frank Viquez,
automakers are scrambling to implement advanced safety and engine
management systems to make vehicles safer and more fuel-efficient, as
well as meet growing consumer and government demands. "The goal of
x-by-wire is to replace nearly every automotive hydraulic/mechanical
system with electronics. Ultimately, automakers will realize tremendous
cost savings with respect to vehicle design, manufacturing, and assembly
processes," states Viquez.
"Redesigning a vehicle and offering greater incentives
won't be enough in this progressively difficult marketplace.
Consumers want advanced drivetrain and safety systems which will enhance
their driving experience. New time-triggered architectures such as TTP
and FlexRay will deliver those compulsory systems into the
vehicle," Viquez said.
According to report findings, the mass rollout of 42-volt power
systems will begin later than expected, around 2010, when approximately
12 million, or 19 percent of new vehicles will feature the innovative
power systems.
Despite the 42-volt slowdown, the introduction of automotive
time-triggered architectures will continue as planned. Next-generation
implementations of adaptive cruise control, collision avoidance systems,
and sophisticated body-control systems can only utilize time-triggered
protocols because other protocols lack the necessary speeds, reliability
levels, and are not fault-tolerant, ABI found.
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