Bear Of The Day: Anheuser-Busch InBev SANV (BUD)
This stock has an inconsistent history when it comes to beating the number and now estimates are falling.
Anheuser-Busch InBev SANV (BUD) is a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) following a recent miss the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Stocks that miss the number don’t always fall to a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) so let’s take a look at why that is the case in this Bear of the Day article.
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV engages in the production, distribution, and sale of beer, alcoholic beverages, and soft drinks worldwide. It offers a portfolio of approximately 500 beer brands, which primarily include Budweiser, Corona, and Stella Artois among othersnds. The company was founded in 1366 and is headquartered in Leuven, Belgium. Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV is a subsidiary of AB InBev NV/SA.
When I look at a stock, the first thing I do is look to see if the company is beating the number. This tells me right away where the market’s expectations have been for the company and how management has communicated to the market. A stock that consistently beats has management communicating expectations to Wall Street that can be achieved. That is what you want to see.
In the case of BUD, I see two misses and two beats of the Zacks Consensus Estimate over the last year. This alone does not make the stock a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and it doesn’t make it a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) either.
The Zacks Rank does care about the earnings history, but it is much more heavily influenced by the movement of earnings estimates.
The Zacks Rank tells us which stocks are seeing earnings estimates move higher or in this case lower. For BUD I see estimates fluctuating.
This quarter has dipped from $0.96 to $0.92.
Next quarter has moved from $0.62 to $0.70 over the last 60 days.
The Zacks Rank is more heavily influenced by the move in the annual numbers, and the movement is negative for those numbers.
The 2021 consensus number has decreased from $3.17 to $2.94.
The 2022 number has moved from $3.64 to $3.41 over the last 60 days.
Negative movement in earnings estimates like that is why this stock is a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell).
It should be noted that a majority of stocks in the Zacks universe are seeing positive earnings estimate revisions. That means that the stocks that are seeing small but negative earnings estimate revisions are falling to a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell).
AnheuserBusch InBev SANV Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
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